{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3a402a29-6f48-475b-b69a-38d8fe569bcb",
    "symbol": "HRL-F11",
    "name": "Harel Index Funds Ltd - SAL TA 90 ETF",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.846,
    "architecture_energy": 67.258,
    "architecture_maturity": 97.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.05,
        "rotation_up": 29.99,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 60.98,
        "rotation_down": 55.81,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.265333,
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 34.51,
    "trend_reference": 2364.71,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.985406,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2360.950641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.985383,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.885242,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.990625,
    "excess_performance": -1.019525,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.985406,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.324982,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.985383,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.602189,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988852,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.907588,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990625,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.206857,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1016500,
      "relative_activity": 1.389223,
      "balance": 0.206857,
      "dry_up": 0.88771,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 9.108196,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.314702,
      "from_high_reference": -0.991538,
      "from_low_reference": 0.007886
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2364.71,
      "fair_value_reference": 2360.950641,
      "structural_low": 34.24,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.00545,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002251,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.058692,
        "worst_return": -0.142555,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.032385,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 2.3e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.123011,
        "worst_return": -0.111474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.00702,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025319,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.092712,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.138324,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.04,
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        "typical_volume": 726312.4,
        "trend": 2608.713,
        "fair_value": 2384.5025,
        "relative_strength": -98.914998,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.124407,
        "energy": 68.059087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.4,
        "volume": 467628,
        "typical_volume": 696912.8,
        "trend": 2490.093,
        "fair_value": 2372.985833,
        "relative_strength": -98.879716,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.022782,
        "energy": 67.760837,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.73,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.51,
        "volume": 1016500,
        "typical_volume": 731704.15,
        "trend": 2364.71,
        "fair_value": 2360.950641,
        "relative_strength": -98.885242,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.845664,
        "energy": 67.258209,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}