{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3a4d2d17-c64e-48a4-b545-9ea8e5e8b7ca",
    "symbol": "3709",
    "name": "Trigold Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.146,
    "architecture_energy": 13.444,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.629,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.726,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.83,
        "rotation_up": 25.61,
        "upward_expansion": 47.2,
        "deceleration": 67.18,
        "rotation_down": 35.09,
        "downward_expansion": 38.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.148475,
        72.697354,
        75.044209,
        74.03546
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 70.5,
    "trend_reference": 71.615812,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.015581,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.131426,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.801621,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.976133,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.174526,
    "excess_performance": -0.266846,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015581,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102443,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.801621,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.479871,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149761,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220149,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174526,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.625844,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7147204,
      "relative_activity": 0.584274,
      "balance": 0.625844,
      "dry_up": 0.409353,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.113798,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.596276,
      "from_high_reference": -0.219933,
      "from_low_reference": 1.02143
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.615812,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.131426,
      "structural_low": 59.343227,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.009056,
        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010649,
        "regime_survival": 0.578947,
        "best_return": 0.563559,
        "worst_return": -0.105474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.109745,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02385,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.448343,
        "worst_return": -0.179039,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.299743,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.141594,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.503404,
        "worst_return": -0.289214,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.141096,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.138841,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.885956,
        "worst_return": -0.043972,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076951,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.162978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.176661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.209375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.17033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.007825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 15197373.4,
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        "fair_value": 38.175591,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 13336381.55,
        "trend": 70.533746,
        "fair_value": 38.472084,
        "relative_strength": -10.94156,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 0.438573,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.243477,
        "volume": 4309877,
        "typical_volume": 12413019.5,
        "trend": 71.337961,
        "fair_value": 38.820565,
        "relative_strength": -3.531607,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.894138,
        "energy": 12.473218,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 70.5,
        "volume": 7147204,
        "typical_volume": 12232614.35,
        "trend": 71.615812,
        "fair_value": 39.131426,
        "relative_strength": -14.976133,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.145625,
        "energy": 13.444009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}