{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a5aab95-04b4-46c6-91bf-52bebccb3e0e", "symbol": "DB60", "name": "Xtrackers - Portfolio UCITS ETF", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.144, "architecture_energy": 39.435, "architecture_maturity": 61.022, "architecture_confidence": 74.266, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.81, "rotation_up": 36.57, "upward_expansion": 61.37, "deceleration": 88.31, "rotation_down": 27.72, "downward_expansion": 22.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 355.936666, 356.624546, 353.64881, 348.611076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 360.0, "trend_reference": 342.766668, "distance_from_trend": 0.050277, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 301.351603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.194618, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.924163, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.080432, "excess_performance": -0.093815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050277, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032254, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.194618, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014308, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119242, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032631, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080432, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015759, "annualized_volatility": 0.089466, "from_high_reference": -0.004287, "from_low_reference": 0.16637 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 342.766668, "fair_value_reference": 301.351603, "structural_low": 318.0, "invalidation": "A decisive 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299.503526, "relative_strength": -10.491853, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.94912, "energy": 60.769516, "activity_lines": [ 357.410006, 356.809093, 350.668096, 345.764195 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 355.350006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.85, "trend": 340.970001, "fair_value": 300.103526, "relative_strength": -11.112786, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.539039, "energy": 49.956563, "activity_lines": [ 356.450006, 356.800003, 351.751192, 346.756238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 351.549988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.7, "trend": 341.830001, "fair_value": 300.7, "relative_strength": -11.708344, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.547402, "energy": 35.394409, "activity_lines": [ 354.59, 355.948182, 352.351667, 347.438818 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 360.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.7, "trend": 342.766668, "fair_value": 301.351603, "relative_strength": -11.924163, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.14434, "energy": 39.43542, "activity_lines": [ 355.936666, 356.624546, 353.64881, 348.611076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }