{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a603549-c2cc-4d91-a648-b62ef4c4d7dd", "symbol": "SLBN", "name": "SLB N.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.707, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.549, "architecture_energy": 20.281, "architecture_maturity": 22.003, "architecture_confidence": 61.267, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.71, "rotation_up": 31.04, "upward_expansion": 21.96, "deceleration": 72.09, "rotation_down": 29.95, "downward_expansion": 33.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 859.654671, 853.570366, 886.694702, 890.751943 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 885.809998, "trend_reference": 888.244189, "distance_from_trend": -0.00274, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 821.722206, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077992, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.67247, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.030363, "excess_performance": 0.08503, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00274, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070071, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.077992, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044122, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096725, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038985, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030363, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.01083, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8, "relative_activity": 0.001628, "balance": 5.01083, "dry_up": 0.010328, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04195, "annualized_volatility": 0.398145, "from_high_reference": -0.108572, "from_low_reference": 0.512788 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 888.244189, "fair_value_reference": 821.722206, "structural_low": 790.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.013748, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.027858, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.346492, "worst_return": -0.15734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.037551, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.254548, "worst_return": -0.194805, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.05811, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.090706, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.137544, "worst_return": -0.196593, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01372, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.050911, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.031137, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.004783, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007353, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.12877, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"typical_volume": 4913.65, "trend": 888.244189, "fair_value": 821.722206, "relative_strength": 9.67247, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.548637, "energy": 20.281396, "activity_lines": [ 859.654671, 853.570366, 886.694702, 890.751943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }