{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a759d98-62cb-42cd-a82f-c528cda848e3", "symbol": "PROEN", "name": "PROEN Corp Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.765, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -5.697, "architecture_energy": 16.285, "architecture_maturity": 24.138, "architecture_confidence": 56.278, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.35, "rotation_up": 41.19, "upward_expansion": 34.76, "deceleration": 42.74, "rotation_down": 16.6, "downward_expansion": 40.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.978667, 0.960545, 0.947476, 0.965011 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.97, "trend_reference": 1.002667, "distance_from_trend": -0.03258, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.902308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.490093, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.166227, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.126126, "excess_performance": -0.318451, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03258, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046895, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.490093, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090988, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.241662, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071458, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126126, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.197113, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2806100, "relative_activity": 0.396969, "balance": 3.197113, "dry_up": 1.912303, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077716, "annualized_volatility": 0.367426, "from_high_reference": -0.401235, "from_low_reference": 0.141176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.002667, "fair_value_reference": 1.902308, "structural_low": 0.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.019417, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.088591, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.037037, "worst_return": -0.14876, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.237221, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.307569, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.185185, "worst_return": -0.289256, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.155556, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.235447, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.155556, "worst_return": -0.155556, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.281481, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.631931, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.281481, "worst_return": -0.281481, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-02-10", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.68033, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.204724, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.331429, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.192857, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.045455, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014815, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.128788, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.246575, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079646, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.190083, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.051546, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.0, "volume": 3445300, "typical_volume": 20204880.0, "trend": 5.241081, "fair_value": 6.483586, "relative_strength": -30.152569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.252713, "energy": 32.271002, "activity_lines": [ 0.92, 0.917455, 0.940286, 0.977978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.92, "volume": 2819200, "typical_volume": 6929220.0, "trend": 1.017, "fair_value": 1.989167, "relative_strength": -31.502263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.205287, "energy": 27.927463, "activity_lines": [ 0.919333, 0.917818, 0.934952, 0.971247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.02, "volume": 35057000, "typical_volume": 7352655.0, "trend": 1.014, "fair_value": 1.967115, "relative_strength": -24.123892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.306747, "energy": 10.479203, "activity_lines": [ 0.954, 0.937091, 0.940619, 0.971441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.97, "volume": 13004600, "typical_volume": 7269060.0, "trend": 1.009333, "fair_value": 1.945, "relative_strength": -27.161467, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.178743, "energy": 12.987568, "activity_lines": [ 0.962667, 0.945636, 0.942048, 0.968602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.99, "volume": 3203200, "typical_volume": 7208925.0, "trend": 1.006333, "fair_value": 1.922756, "relative_strength": -23.949261, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.389236, "energy": 14.054087, "activity_lines": [ 0.976667, 0.955818, 0.945619, 0.967355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.97, "volume": 2806100, "typical_volume": 7068820.0, "trend": 1.002667, "fair_value": 1.902308, "relative_strength": -24.166227, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.69707, "energy": 16.28527, "activity_lines": [ 0.978667, 0.960545, 0.947476, 0.965011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }