{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3a903c3d-3e7f-403b-9088-90f8d3782447",
    "symbol": "ARR",
    "name": "Arribatec Group ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -42.708,
    "architecture_energy": 30.465,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.747,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.24,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.17,
        "rotation_up": 26.63,
        "upward_expansion": 16.33,
        "deceleration": 46.69,
        "rotation_down": 33.59,
        "downward_expansion": 64.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.569333,
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        5.702441,
        5.917784
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.84,
    "trend_reference": 6.29786,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.072701,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.50486,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.10221,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.779865,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.266824,
    "excess_performance": -0.391818,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072701,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048542,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10221,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02267,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177799,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128762,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266824,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.498628,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 913955,
      "relative_activity": 0.741614,
      "balance": 0.498628,
      "dry_up": 0.740536,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068499,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.540828,
      "from_high_reference": -0.34598,
      "from_low_reference": 0.39453
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.29786,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.50486,
      "structural_low": 5.1,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": -0.036321,
        "positive_rate": 0.388889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.611111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047671,
        "regime_survival": 0.861111,
        "best_return": 0.760099,
        "worst_return": -0.552434,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.625767,
        "worst_return": -0.487057,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.78273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "best_return": 2.444764,
        "worst_return": -0.806883,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2901273.75,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -71.330805,
        "energy": 74.651162,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.787402,
          6.064592
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.48,
        "volume": 1258788,
        "typical_volume": 2934368.35,
        "trend": 6.373725,
        "fair_value": 6.598399,
        "relative_strength": -22.119156,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.175888,
        "energy": 52.853566,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.356,
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          5.738918,
          6.004547
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.52,
        "volume": 545292,
        "typical_volume": 1443693.8,
        "trend": 6.3311,
        "fair_value": 6.552063,
        "relative_strength": -21.878216,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.996382,
        "energy": 46.933066,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.42,
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          5.949468
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.84,
        "volume": 913955,
        "typical_volume": 1232385.8,
        "trend": 6.29786,
        "fair_value": 6.50486,
        "relative_strength": -17.779865,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.707796,
        "energy": 30.465042,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.569333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}