{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a91d315-4703-4a3f-9cb7-df2e69bcc68f", "symbol": "PETZ", "name": "TDH Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.481, "architecture_energy": 28.513, "architecture_maturity": 29.668, "architecture_confidence": 64.599, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.85, "rotation_up": 41.49, "upward_expansion": 68.22, "deceleration": 66.77, "rotation_down": 24.35, "downward_expansion": 6.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.301667, 1.281818, 1.231405, 1.202489 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.585, "trend_reference": 1.16913, "distance_from_trend": 0.355709, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.149592, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37875, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.628486, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.454128, "excess_performance": 0.266675, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.355709, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090471, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.532613, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.246285, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.479568, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.454128, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 87.277142, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 387475, "relative_activity": 0.276628, "balance": 87.277142, "dry_up": 0.130936, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181179, "annualized_volatility": 0.725741, "from_high_reference": -0.131507, "from_low_reference": 0.95679 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.16913, "fair_value_reference": 1.149592, "structural_low": 0.81, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.011696, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020481, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.152942, "worst_return": -0.130354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.121289, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.18, "worst_return": -0.339665, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.400657, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.322478, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.064815, "worst_return": -0.736499, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.826816, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.571623, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.826816, "worst_return": -0.826816, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.105662, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.106029, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.145299, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.038155, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.14076, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.04386, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019133, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.092499, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.283422, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045872, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.03, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.229167, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.298701, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.402655, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.02, "volume": 140398, "typical_volume": 245472.2, "trend": 1.321497, "fair_value": 24.219243, "relative_strength": -53.578809, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.813412, "energy": 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"fair_value": 1.148823, "relative_strength": -15.256529, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.452035, "energy": 18.803023, "activity_lines": [ 1.255333, 1.256909, 1.193115, 1.169179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.13, "volume": 54424, "typical_volume": 1372273.3, "trend": 1.135467, "fair_value": 1.147412, "relative_strength": -7.333747, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.780777, "energy": 16.759025, "activity_lines": [ 1.187333, 1.242364, 1.189739, 1.169128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.18, "volume": 261622, "typical_volume": 1383756.7, "trend": 1.14213, "fair_value": 1.146387, "relative_strength": -1.705984, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.175113, "energy": 18.925217, "activity_lines": [ 1.163333, 1.234, 1.191006, 1.172001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.18, "volume": 30091, "typical_volume": 1383157.15, "trend": 1.150297, "fair_value": 1.146387, "relative_strength": -2.061286, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.245498, "energy": 17.359214, "activity_lines": [ 1.160667, 1.221636, 1.191988, 1.174444 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.585, "volume": 387475, "typical_volume": 1400707.85, "trend": 1.16913, "fair_value": 1.149592, "relative_strength": 24.628486, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.480511, "energy": 28.512898, "activity_lines": [ 1.301667, 1.281818, 1.231405, 1.202489 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }