{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a96884c-b704-40c2-8b68-6ca949f893e3", "symbol": "DGCONTENT", "name": "Digicontent Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.834, "architecture_energy": 45.398, "architecture_maturity": 7.29, "architecture_confidence": 90.253, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.64, "rotation_up": 14.14, "upward_expansion": 8.59, "deceleration": 40.92, "rotation_down": 60.36, "downward_expansion": 84.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.026666, 25.576727, 26.584524, 26.681677 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.82, "trend_reference": 26.927333, "distance_from_trend": -0.041123, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.029551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.218276, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.137202, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.056897, "excess_performance": 0.100606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083845, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.218276, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.225008, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141372, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109228, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.056897, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.425584, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 365210, "relative_activity": 5.488116, "balance": 1.425584, "dry_up": 2.515726, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117679, "annualized_volatility": 0.511232, "from_high_reference": -0.386261, "from_low_reference": 0.194817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.927333, "fair_value_reference": 33.029551, "structural_low": 21.610001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.026316, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.015742, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.226533, "worst_return": -0.13808, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.070968, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020775, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.164743, "worst_return": -0.218176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.110703, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.183742, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.077419, "worst_return": -0.166962, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043849, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.098157, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.078091, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.233211, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.156746, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.916829, "energy": 25.154833, "activity_lines": [ 26.761333, 27.215455, 27.449429, 27.470473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.040001, "volume": 85820, "typical_volume": 61748.3, "trend": 27.909, "fair_value": 32.792436, "relative_strength": -15.544625, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.015161, "energy": 21.240916, "activity_lines": [ 26.468667, 26.845818, 27.343715, 27.337248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.059999, "volume": 106581, "typical_volume": 64822.5, "trend": 27.694333, "fair_value": 32.855962, "relative_strength": -14.96166, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.1973, "energy": 24.977579, "activity_lines": [ 26.324, 26.587273, 27.248333, 27.217957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.1, "volume": 129162, "typical_volume": 61429.15, "trend": 27.393, "fair_value": 32.913013, "relative_strength": -18.519224, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.974101, "energy": 48.707918, "activity_lines": [ 25.507333, 26.087636, 26.974, 26.986065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.959999, "volume": 68689, "typical_volume": 53538.3, "trend": 27.105, "fair_value": 32.967564, "relative_strength": -20.386401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.336443, "energy": 54.994222, "activity_lines": [ 24.831333, 25.634909, 26.691191, 26.764581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.82, "volume": 365210, "typical_volume": 66545.6, "trend": 26.927333, "fair_value": 33.029551, "relative_strength": -14.137202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.834004, "energy": 45.398133, "activity_lines": [ 25.026666, 25.576727, 26.584524, 26.681677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }