{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a9893c6-c993-493e-a499-7cc1a310ebe6", "symbol": "EKF", "name": "EKF Diagnostics Holdings plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 65.117, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.079, "architecture_energy": 10.109, "architecture_maturity": 12.055, "architecture_confidence": 61.758, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.67, "rotation_up": 26.58, "upward_expansion": 41.43, "deceleration": 77.77, "rotation_down": 28.03, "downward_expansion": 30.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.257133, 0.258055, 0.258671, 0.257088 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.26, "trend_reference": 0.256467, "distance_from_trend": 0.013777, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.267322, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027389, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.915605, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.04, "excess_performance": -0.011235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013777, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010374, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027389, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043831, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089156, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024015, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.140937, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1186162, "relative_activity": 0.955478, "balance": 1.140937, "dry_up": 1.185409, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05576, "annualized_volatility": 0.257587, "from_high_reference": -0.1875, "from_low_reference": 0.192661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.256467, "fair_value_reference": 0.267322, "structural_low": 0.23, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.004098, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.000618, "regime_survival": 0.521739, "best_return": 0.20438, "worst_return": -0.142367, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.078947, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.080763, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.18705, "worst_return": -0.364238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026754, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.086895, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.025754, "worst_return": -0.180851, 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"typical_volume": 1501170.1, "trend": 0.25685, "fair_value": 0.267423, "relative_strength": -10.844096, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.240431, "energy": 8.296087, "activity_lines": [ 0.2576, 0.259636, 0.257829, 0.256856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.257, "volume": 463559, "typical_volume": 1416962.2, "trend": 0.256917, "fair_value": 0.267433, "relative_strength": -9.892589, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.138661, "energy": 6.677792, "activity_lines": [ 0.256733, 0.258691, 0.257995, 0.256866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.257, "volume": 1746389, "typical_volume": 1415726.15, "trend": 0.256633, "fair_value": 0.267335, "relative_strength": -10.302, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.002456, "energy": 9.270405, "activity_lines": [ 0.256, 0.257936, 0.258183, 0.256871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.26, "volume": 1186162, "typical_volume": 1241432.45, "trend": 0.256467, "fair_value": 0.267322, "relative_strength": -8.915605, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.078659, "energy": 10.109057, "activity_lines": [ 0.257133, 0.258055, 0.258671, 0.257088 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }