{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3aa59660-406b-4296-9181-ee1660dfd2b8", "symbol": "2885", "name": "Yuanta Financial Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.181, "architecture_energy": 62.735, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.052, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 58.03, "upward_expansion": 83.87, "deceleration": 67.96, "rotation_down": 25.77, "downward_expansion": 10.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.529324, 66.397493, 62.987374, 58.915859 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 69.699997, "trend_reference": 53.557628, "distance_from_trend": 0.301402, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.223672, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.097902, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.367815, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.682376, "excess_performance": 0.241004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.301402, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218912, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.097902, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.295702, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.143678, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152872, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.682376, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.252928, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85678184, "relative_activity": 0.630746, "balance": 1.252928, "dry_up": 1.090632, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063993, "annualized_volatility": 0.323729, "from_high_reference": -0.015537, "from_low_reference": 1.260121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.557628, "fair_value_reference": 33.223672, "structural_low": 41.672338, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": 0.024242, "positive_rate": 0.72093, "directional_follow_through": 0.72093, "median_excess_return": -0.001879, "regime_survival": 0.837209, "best_return": 0.184486, "worst_return": -0.136947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.045043, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.023378, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.463576, "worst_return": -0.135769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.068327, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.002588, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.299856, "worst_return": -0.12379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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65.536071, 61.835094, 57.809754 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.699997, "volume": 85678184, "typical_volume": 135836376.7, "trend": 53.557628, "fair_value": 33.223672, "relative_strength": 14.367815, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.180984, "energy": 62.735406, "activity_lines": [ 67.529324, 66.397493, 62.987374, 58.915859 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }