{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3acf79fa-56c6-4357-a846-c9482aec899a",
    "symbol": "MEI",
    "name": "Methode Electronics Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.409,
    "architecture_energy": 39.403,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.506,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.287,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.66,
        "rotation_up": 37.82,
        "upward_expansion": 67.31,
        "deceleration": 77.03,
        "rotation_down": 26.61,
        "downward_expansion": 9.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.397832,
        15.352472,
        13.602559,
        12.004761
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.67,
    "trend_reference": 10.281671,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.621332,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.396532,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.462726,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 69.021047,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.846636,
    "excess_performance": 0.721011,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.621332,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.349837,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.462726,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.719055,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.69021,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.523192,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.846636,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.30933,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2843267,
      "relative_activity": 0.749536,
      "balance": 3.30933,
      "dry_up": 0.771285,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.202746,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.913324,
      "from_high_reference": -0.179313,
      "from_low_reference": 2.439739
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.281671,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.396532,
      "structural_low": 4.846298,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.041558,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008863,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.093408,
        "worst_return": -0.083191,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.095873,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.154341,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.06589,
        "worst_return": -0.211824,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.147108,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.217587,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.006827,
        "worst_return": -0.287389,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.34307,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.410588,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.146986,
        "worst_return": -0.539154,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.131321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.012214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.377387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "return": -0.294714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
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        "return": 0.155456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.267327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.237607,
        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 11.751875,
        "relative_strength": 74.150227,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 65.347428,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3955929.05,
        "trend": 9.421491,
        "fair_value": 11.662452,
        "relative_strength": 65.75777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.803346,
        "energy": 57.296241,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.620818,
          12.27282,
          10.915507
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.31,
        "volume": 2295253,
        "typical_volume": 3921676.75,
        "trend": 9.709527,
        "fair_value": 11.573421,
        "relative_strength": 67.529205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.188695,
        "energy": 47.915816,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.556466,
          14.936885,
          12.756522,
          11.295411
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.99,
        "volume": 2568856,
        "typical_volume": 3836300.2,
        "trend": 9.955536,
        "fair_value": 11.472667,
        "relative_strength": 49.41653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.115907,
        "energy": 34.792312,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.860272,
          14.926042,
          13.073101,
          11.57157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.67,
        "volume": 2843267,
        "typical_volume": 3793367.75,
        "trend": 10.281671,
        "fair_value": 11.396532,
        "relative_strength": 69.021047,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.408939,
        "energy": 39.403107,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.397832,
          15.352472,
          13.602559,
          12.004761
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}