{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3ada562f-b426-42bf-8815-05cb3cf58d80",
    "symbol": "BCP",
    "name": "Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.395,
    "architecture_energy": 94.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.169,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.3,
        "rotation_up": 88.21,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.25,
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        38.127381,
        37.37564
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 45.5,
    "trend_reference": 35.968466,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.264997,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.644897,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313325,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 21.105311,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.440054,
    "excess_performance": 0.247729,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264997,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124891,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.313325,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.283174,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211053,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250799,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.440054,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.270077,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 71716100,
      "relative_activity": 2.599602,
      "balance": 3.270077,
      "dry_up": 2.420444,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043533,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.320369,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01087,
      "from_low_reference": 0.933957
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 34.644897,
      "structural_low": 32.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.023973,
        "positive_rate": 0.291667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.291667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021076,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.131148,
        "worst_return": -0.090395,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.154411,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.134515,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 34.390682,
        "relative_strength": -1.070356,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 42.5,
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        "typical_volume": 23529810.0,
        "trend": 34.076932,
        "fair_value": 34.44542,
        "relative_strength": 11.729321,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": 85.930568,
        "energy": 77.355764,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.8,
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          35.62381,
          35.371032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.0,
        "volume": 89352600,
        "typical_volume": 25915595.0,
        "trend": 34.726269,
        "fair_value": 34.514742,
        "relative_strength": 17.925225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.279388,
        "energy": 96.742106,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.7,
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          36.488095,
          36.075746
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.75,
        "volume": 42778800,
        "typical_volume": 26008765.0,
        "trend": 35.375375,
        "fair_value": 34.575253,
        "relative_strength": 18.535018,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.996819,
        "energy": 95.676912,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.733333,
          39.35,
          37.291667,
          36.722438
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.5,
        "volume": 71716100,
        "typical_volume": 27587340.0,
        "trend": 35.968466,
        "fair_value": 34.644897,
        "relative_strength": 21.105311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.394562,
        "energy": 94.477179,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.25,
          40.868182,
          38.127381,
          37.37564
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}