{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b024d07-a80f-48f0-bbda-6bb79c593c64", "symbol": "ARWR", "name": "Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.772, "architecture_energy": 44.354, "architecture_maturity": 49.43, "architecture_confidence": 86.651, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.61, "rotation_up": 58.06, "upward_expansion": 78.52, "deceleration": 57.41, "rotation_down": 18.51, "downward_expansion": 5.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.91, 81.904545, 78.86381, 75.181398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 87.65, "trend_reference": 71.064333, "distance_from_trend": 0.233389, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.05359, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.500457, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.516465, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.358493, "excess_performance": 0.17104, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.233389, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118032, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.500457, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179182, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.315165, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108761, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.358493, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.819874, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7002801, "relative_activity": 0.704837, "balance": 0.819874, "dry_up": 1.097849, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104776, "annualized_volatility": 0.39597, "from_high_reference": -0.082102, "from_low_reference": 4.54396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.064333, "fair_value_reference": 35.05359, "structural_low": 54.02, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 77.911333, 77.653273, 74.954238, 72.042387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.6, "volume": 15319164, "typical_volume": 10633019.7, "trend": 69.732667, "fair_value": 34.336923, "relative_strength": 41.225233, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.374999, "energy": 40.141958, "activity_lines": [ 80.084667, 79.170727, 76.351333, 73.09929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.65, "volume": 8972859, "typical_volume": 10302782.45, "trend": 70.294667, "fair_value": 34.676667, "relative_strength": 36.111984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.449472, "energy": 37.915314, "activity_lines": [ 81.689333, 80.353091, 77.53519, 74.061699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.65, "volume": 7002801, "typical_volume": 9935351.95, "trend": 71.064333, "fair_value": 35.05359, "relative_strength": 31.516465, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.772249, "energy": 44.353509, "activity_lines": [ 83.91, 81.904545, 78.86381, 75.181398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }