{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b062c0f-aff9-4254-aefa-0dac8f2ccfea", "symbol": "KPIGREEN", "name": "KPI Green Energy Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.873, "architecture_energy": 63.257, "architecture_maturity": 29.037, "architecture_confidence": 88.351, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.18, "rotation_up": 11.1, "upward_expansion": 13.23, "deceleration": 38.0, "rotation_down": 64.87, "downward_expansion": 84.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.300006, 391.898186, 405.256432, 405.857598 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 370.700012, "trend_reference": 406.454418, "distance_from_trend": -0.087967, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 448.420247, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.17332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.617121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.077861, "excess_performance": -0.034152, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087967, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03906, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.17332, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.285662, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213925, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.077861, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.579651, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2615978, "relative_activity": 0.70369, "balance": 0.579651, "dry_up": 0.642469, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068685, "annualized_volatility": 0.383295, "from_high_reference": -0.31567, "from_low_reference": 0.104424 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 406.454418, "fair_value_reference": 448.420247, "structural_low": 335.649994, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.041921, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.036909, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.211806, "worst_return": -0.19367, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.036145, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039434, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.119618, "worst_return": -0.259941, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.029329, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.04028, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.808996, "worst_return": -0.049825, "sufficient": 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"energy": 16.007878, "activity_lines": [ 405.723336, 407.000911, 414.721431, 412.234293 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 390.200012, "volume": 2221735, "typical_volume": 5381001.5, "trend": 412.640888, "fair_value": 446.008559, "relative_strength": -7.180777, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.614146, "energy": 25.496716, "activity_lines": [ 400.700006, 403.365458, 412.741194, 410.730588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 375.399994, "volume": 1959089, "typical_volume": 3926415.1, "trend": 408.990464, "fair_value": 447.224783, "relative_strength": -12.397015, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.941594, "energy": 38.793765, "activity_lines": [ 392.006669, 397.59182, 409.16024, 408.32795 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 370.700012, "volume": 2615978, "typical_volume": 3717512.9, "trend": 406.454418, "fair_value": 448.420247, "relative_strength": -13.617121, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.873274, "energy": 63.256887, "activity_lines": [ 383.300006, 391.898186, 405.256432, 405.857598 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }