{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b0b41b8-246b-4238-9e82-a53e88ebdba4", "symbol": "I1NC34", "name": "Incyte Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.891, "architecture_energy": 79.722, "architecture_maturity": 17.389, "architecture_confidence": 84.369, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.83, "rotation_up": 74.25, "upward_expansion": 89.8, "deceleration": 50.07, "rotation_down": 13.85, "downward_expansion": 16.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 300.026662, 294.26036, 276.080807, 268.189633 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 306.899994, "trend_reference": 262.898999, "distance_from_trend": 0.167368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 205.455576, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.493754, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.09271, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.102846, "excess_performance": 0.159894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.167368, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009916, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.493754, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262131, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.140927, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.272678, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102846, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.436464, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 761, "relative_activity": 4.592637, "balance": 8.436464, "dry_up": 1.382016, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037875, "annualized_volatility": 0.328174, "from_high_reference": -0.01, "from_low_reference": 0.6185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 262.898999, "fair_value_reference": 205.455576, "structural_low": 232.559998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.016365, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.243522, "worst_return": -0.132294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.070119, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.050511, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.205859, "worst_return": -0.159144, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016566, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.136889, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.341851, "worst_return": -0.314749, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-03", "close": 296.959991, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 155.5, "trend": 258.655333, "fair_value": 200.667755, "relative_strength": 11.32908, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.332034, "energy": 74.855632, "activity_lines": [ 279.761333, 265.258182, 255.136096, 255.696667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 300.299988, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 154.25, "trend": 260.102666, "fair_value": 201.63314, "relative_strength": 9.893911, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.210637, "energy": 84.715366, "activity_lines": [ 289.659996, 273.234544, 259.810571, 258.383419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 300.299988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 136.0, "trend": 261.103666, "fair_value": 202.598525, "relative_strength": 12.089686, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.449901, "energy": 83.087972, "activity_lines": [ 295.410659, 280.245451, 264.29576, 260.976794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 295.0, "volume": 155, "typical_volume": 129.3, "trend": 261.700332, "fair_value": 203.529935, "relative_strength": 9.528495, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.304777, "energy": 88.299853, "activity_lines": [ 297.537327, 285.205087, 268.059284, 263.163654 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 295.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 127.8, "trend": 262.296999, "fair_value": 204.454614, "relative_strength": 6.794314, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.745317, "energy": 86.590207, "activity_lines": [ 296.897329, 289.14436, 271.615284, 265.31202 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 306.899994, "volume": 761, "typical_volume": 165.7, "trend": 262.898999, "fair_value": 205.455576, "relative_strength": 14.09271, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.891028, "energy": 79.722248, "activity_lines": [ 300.026662, 294.26036, 276.080807, 268.189633 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }