{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b312b77-de80-418e-8904-6c2d257dc369", "symbol": "TSMY", "name": "YIELDMAX TSM OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.587, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.842, "architecture_energy": 12.955, "architecture_maturity": 25.885, "architecture_confidence": 88.922, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.78, "rotation_up": 17.98, "upward_expansion": 39.9, "deceleration": 86.82, "rotation_down": 38.12, "downward_expansion": 33.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.149425, 15.38141, 15.460102, 15.163369 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.42, "trend_reference": 14.734335, "distance_from_trend": 0.046535, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.018204, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.399502, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.157386, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126724, "excess_performance": 0.001099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046535, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085224, "read": "Rising" 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12.712578, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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55.086777, "energy": 38.326944, "activity_lines": [ 15.953609, 15.863719, 15.380648, 14.936844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.821294, "volume": 990868, "typical_volume": 956542.0, "trend": 14.392896, "fair_value": 10.856666, "relative_strength": 10.017143, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.269425, "energy": 35.01367, "activity_lines": [ 15.913966, 15.87651, 15.467673, 15.037237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.643296, "volume": 1550883, "typical_volume": 884872.55, "trend": 14.486496, "fair_value": 10.894532, "relative_strength": 3.076971, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.163687, "energy": 14.469087, "activity_lines": [ 15.466388, 15.66502, 15.436144, 15.053392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.973762, "volume": 601588, "typical_volume": 880394.0, "trend": 14.577344, "fair_value": 10.934921, "relative_strength": 5.610806, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.498881, "energy": 16.589176, "activity_lines": [ 15.207012, 15.530923, 15.436099, 15.084829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.028052, "volume": 817270, "typical_volume": 891924.5, "trend": 14.653326, "fair_value": 10.97505, "relative_strength": 4.445864, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.152218, "energy": 12.665519, "activity_lines": [ 15.086854, 15.416396, 15.433514, 15.113907 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.42, "volume": 426269, "typical_volume": 773088.9, "trend": 14.734335, "fair_value": 11.018204, "relative_strength": 3.157386, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.842363, "energy": 12.954713, "activity_lines": [ 15.149425, 15.38141, 15.460102, 15.163369 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }