{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b394d40-0e3a-4364-bbcb-abff75f93c42", "symbol": "ILM", "name": "Index Living Mall Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 73.288, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.123, "architecture_energy": 70.824, "architecture_maturity": 6.462, "architecture_confidence": 60.212, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.33, "rotation_up": 76.01, "upward_expansion": 90.03, "deceleration": 42.22, "rotation_down": 9.32, "downward_expansion": 14.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.22, 13.029091, 12.857086, 12.823926 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.5, "trend_reference": 12.78687, "distance_from_trend": 0.05577, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.978528, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.09871, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.332329, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.081058, "excess_performance": -0.111267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05577, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000872, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.09871, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048815, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113323, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01423, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081058, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.030608, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1691900, "relative_activity": 1.519607, "balance": 1.030608, "dry_up": 1.166673, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031054, "annualized_volatility": 0.197418, "from_high_reference": -0.119138, "from_low_reference": 0.115702 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.78687, "fair_value_reference": 14.978528, "structural_low": 12.1, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.005525, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.01456, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.138365, "worst_return": -0.189502, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.091694, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.10148, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.25641, "worst_return": -0.256678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.052007, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.163973, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.54088, "worst_return": -0.230404, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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12.62, 12.606756, 12.641105, 12.694183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.0, "volume": 1330000, "typical_volume": 1328420.0, "trend": 12.748669, "fair_value": 15.115056, "relative_strength": -16.481574, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.305001, "energy": 11.840367, "activity_lines": [ 12.753333, 12.671818, 12.664967, 12.710482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.2, "volume": 1024800, "typical_volume": 1259610.0, "trend": 12.762949, "fair_value": 15.080127, "relative_strength": -15.717991, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.50874, "energy": 30.662305, "activity_lines": [ 12.933333, 12.769091, 12.711295, 12.7396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.0, "volume": 1609700, "typical_volume": 1209800.0, "trend": 12.761103, "fair_value": 15.042854, "relative_strength": -16.828058, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.409317, "energy": 31.929458, "activity_lines": [ 13.0, 12.829091, 12.741941, 12.754894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.1, "volume": 869400, "typical_volume": 1128175.0, "trend": 12.768897, "fair_value": 15.007284, "relative_strength": -14.842745, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.166593, "energy": 56.898666, "activity_lines": [ 13.066667, 12.898182, 12.781473, 12.776758 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.5, "volume": 1691900, "typical_volume": 1113380.0, "trend": 12.78687, "fair_value": 14.978528, "relative_strength": -11.332329, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.122743, "energy": 70.823579, "activity_lines": [ 13.22, 13.029091, 12.857086, 12.823926 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }