{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b3bc509-07f9-4010-b514-5d034260951e", "symbol": "6154", "name": "Sunfar Computer Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 66.729, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.314, "architecture_energy": 38.281, "architecture_maturity": 35.636, "architecture_confidence": 55.46, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.73, "rotation_up": 47.18, "upward_expansion": 75.31, "deceleration": 66.17, "rotation_down": 23.05, "downward_expansion": 4.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.73, 13.706312, 13.485627, 13.346941 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.0, "trend_reference": 13.215838, "distance_from_trend": 0.059335, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.108952, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.007722, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.134003, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.059967, "excess_performance": -0.381405, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059335, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.007722, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.25134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118772, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.059967, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.312176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 347190, "relative_activity": 1.273674, "balance": 2.312176, "dry_up": 0.734854, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034638, "annualized_volatility": 0.126884, "from_high_reference": -0.077997, "from_low_reference": 0.138945 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.215838, "fair_value_reference": 14.108952, "structural_low": 12.292077, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.008772, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.010476, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.087571, "worst_return": -0.107143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.008899, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.041879, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.060897, "worst_return": -0.066596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.046966, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.078258, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.073718, "worst_return": -0.066066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 118499, "typical_volume": 254083.35, "trend": 13.119703, "fair_value": 14.120666, "relative_strength": -26.061738, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.622968, "energy": 45.510228, "activity_lines": [ 13.693333, 13.573793, 13.289481, 13.205252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.65, "volume": 178265, "typical_volume": 257736.35, "trend": 13.144078, "fair_value": 14.117753, "relative_strength": -26.259485, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.247176, "energy": 41.593366, "activity_lines": [ 13.673333, 13.619041, 13.337532, 13.239465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.5, "volume": 190711, "typical_volume": 261858.25, "trend": 13.16024, "fair_value": 14.114148, "relative_strength": -25.218417, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.244415, "energy": 29.926352, "activity_lines": [ 13.613333, 13.618462, 13.368273, 13.262427 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.65, "volume": 85088, "typical_volume": 261239.35, "trend": 13.179796, "fair_value": 14.109621, "relative_strength": -25.319374, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.484996, "energy": 25.488698, "activity_lines": [ 13.61, 13.638093, 13.41145, 13.294025 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.0, "volume": 347190, "typical_volume": 272589.35, "trend": 13.215838, "fair_value": 14.108952, "relative_strength": -25.134003, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.313671, "energy": 38.280649, "activity_lines": [ 13.73, 13.706312, 13.485627, 13.346941 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }