{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b4419bf-e267-4189-9e63-6cb9e9823430",
    "symbol": "JAVA",
    "name": "JP MORGAN ETF TRUST ACTIVE VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.001,
    "architecture_energy": 83.991,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.465,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.853,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 76.12,
        "upward_expansion": 93.03,
        "deceleration": 46.07,
        "rotation_down": 16.27,
        "downward_expansion": 17.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        81.637333,
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 83.47,
    "trend_reference": 76.345852,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093314,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.63737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.311651,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.533676,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.089012,
    "excess_performance": -0.036613,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093314,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040166,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.311651,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070333,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015337,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043335,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089012,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.205941,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1826587,
      "relative_activity": 0.838952,
      "balance": 1.205941,
      "dry_up": 1.114241,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019565,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.108961,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003462,
      "from_low_reference": 0.294041
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.345852,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.63737,
      "structural_low": 70.04,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.014674,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000818,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.055129,
        "worst_return": -0.049844,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.084319,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.009465,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.103551,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.04,
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        "typical_volume": 2199893.45,
        "trend": 75.733239,
        "fair_value": 63.243211,
        "relative_strength": 2.072008,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.56,
        "volume": 1318252,
        "typical_volume": 2174129.25,
        "trend": 76.038634,
        "fair_value": 63.434476,
        "relative_strength": 2.790265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.962161,
        "energy": 78.026409,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 83.47,
        "volume": 1826587,
        "typical_volume": 2177223.8,
        "trend": 76.345852,
        "fair_value": 63.63737,
        "relative_strength": 1.533676,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.001092,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}