{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b4831db-d01a-40fc-8a52-bc293eb5f6d9",
    "symbol": "TDVG",
    "name": "T ROWE PRICE EXCHANGE TRD FDS INC DIVID GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.441,
    "architecture_energy": 78.232,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.205,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.176,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 75.37,
        "upward_expansion": 92.8,
        "deceleration": 46.75,
        "rotation_down": 19.23,
        "downward_expansion": 14.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.908833,
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        48.687256,
        47.948217
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 50.6405,
    "trend_reference": 47.14774,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074081,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.34232,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25527,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.352358,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.086927,
    "excess_performance": -0.038698,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074081,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03248,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25527,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053428,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013524,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040808,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086927,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.979613,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 175594,
      "relative_activity": 0.689829,
      "balance": 1.979613,
      "dry_up": 1.22227,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015939,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.098069,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003336,
      "from_low_reference": 0.200286
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.14774,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.34232,
      "structural_low": 43.57,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.010041,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002568,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.060807,
        "worst_return": -0.044977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.034544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.010518,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.060711,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-10-06",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 75.530285,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 250201.65,
        "trend": 46.38461,
        "fair_value": 39.79653,
        "relative_strength": -0.355833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 245141.7,
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        "fair_value": 39.906798,
        "relative_strength": -1.343893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 81.306343,
        "energy": 89.623407,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 49.35,
        "volume": 642087,
        "typical_volume": 261438.15,
        "trend": 46.690499,
        "fair_value": 40.01194,
        "relative_strength": -0.098808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.894355,
        "energy": 87.425419,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 49.59,
        "volume": 229781,
        "typical_volume": 260765.15,
        "trend": 46.833677,
        "fair_value": 40.117005,
        "relative_strength": 1.001553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.672595,
        "energy": 87.889186,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.61,
        "volume": 197039,
        "typical_volume": 259948.5,
        "trend": 46.984831,
        "fair_value": 40.226794,
        "relative_strength": -0.012407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.108062,
        "energy": 82.290858,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.525333,
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          48.385618,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.6405,
        "volume": 175594,
        "typical_volume": 254547.15,
        "trend": 47.14774,
        "fair_value": 40.34232,
        "relative_strength": -1.352358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.440509,
        "energy": 78.231581,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}