{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b51e105-4372-4286-b8bd-12acc9f4a0a3", "symbol": "UHS", "name": "Universal Health Services, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.645, "architecture_energy": 62.688, "architecture_maturity": 88.18, "architecture_confidence": 60.5, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.36, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 18.0, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 44.05, "downward_expansion": 65.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2539.0, 2538.936502, 2812.211698, 3056.932099 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2539.0, "trend_reference": 3339.668572, "distance_from_trend": -0.239745, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3151.344201, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.194312, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.5673, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.331807, "excess_performance": -0.27714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.239745, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116967, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.194312, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.39483, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275673, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210857, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.331807, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038444, "annualized_volatility": 0.522361, "from_high_reference": -0.420289, "from_low_reference": 0.001377 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3339.668572, "fair_value_reference": 3151.344201, "structural_low": 2535.5076, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.01305, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004842, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.069718, "worst_return": -0.313882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.14082, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.165355, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.050148, "worst_return": -0.331789, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.050221, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.154014, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.050221, "worst_return": 0.050221, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.176158, "energy": 66.784456, "activity_lines": [ 2539.0, 2540.110175, 2872.556731, 3111.299534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2539.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 84.9, "trend": 3339.668572, "fair_value": 3151.344201, "relative_strength": -27.5673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.645456, "energy": 62.688456, "activity_lines": [ 2539.0, 2538.936502, 2812.211698, 3056.932099 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }