{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b571603-0027-47c5-ba0d-268a7a1f95b2", "symbol": "SHREDIGCEM", "name": "Shree Digvijay Cement Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.201, "architecture_energy": 17.244, "architecture_maturity": 10.009, "architecture_confidence": 75.213, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.73, "rotation_up": 27.65, "upward_expansion": 56.0, "deceleration": 82.85, "rotation_down": 29.83, "downward_expansion": 19.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.442667, 74.178728, 73.759144, 72.453614 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 72.540001, "trend_reference": 72.039, "distance_from_trend": 0.006955, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 86.35439, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.159973, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.168844, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.006941, "excess_performance": 0.05065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006955, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068887, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.159973, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060984, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081688, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077205, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006941, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.941924, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 223176, "relative_activity": 0.423973, "balance": 0.941924, "dry_up": 0.810558, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055577, "annualized_volatility": 0.369136, "from_high_reference": -0.326462, "from_low_reference": 0.345826 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.039, "fair_value_reference": 86.35439, "structural_low": 53.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.00287, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.004726, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.104934, "worst_return": -0.193963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.015794, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030333, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.320711, "worst_return": -0.186769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.096927, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.06576, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.219885, "worst_return": -0.230061, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 73.285, "fair_value": 86.546755, "relative_strength": -0.774851, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.407945, "energy": 25.525043, "activity_lines": [ 75.126002, 74.748911, 73.60862, 72.524345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.309998, "volume": 559435, "typical_volume": 566524.85, "trend": 72.661334, "fair_value": 86.450143, "relative_strength": -7.945201, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.593502, "energy": 6.506397, "activity_lines": [ 74.122667, 74.456365, 73.695001, 72.461442 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.540001, "volume": 223176, "typical_volume": 526392.1, "trend": 72.039, "fair_value": 86.35439, "relative_strength": -8.168844, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.200555, "energy": 17.243899, "activity_lines": [ 73.442667, 74.178728, 73.759144, 72.453614 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }