{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b6a75da-4410-4732-b843-c08b4d36d3ae",
    "symbol": "EGIF",
    "name": "Exemplar Growth and Income Ser ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 56.318,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.321,
    "architecture_energy": 22.081,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.071,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.477,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.41,
        "rotation_up": 22.29,
        "upward_expansion": 54.88,
        "deceleration": 90.98,
        "rotation_down": 32.09,
        "downward_expansion": 18.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.187696,
        28.357187,
        28.256027,
        28.022188
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 28.200001,
    "trend_reference": 27.676284,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.018923,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.246249,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267629,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.914969,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.055458,
    "excess_performance": -0.064963,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018923,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044043,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267629,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031823,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03915,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043741,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055458,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.067852,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.067852,
      "dry_up": 0.673172,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01825,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.155194,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065482,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233034
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.676284,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.246249,
      "structural_low": 26.470897,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.008799,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016791,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.034125,
        "worst_return": -0.019461,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.015976,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027594,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.057565,
        "worst_return": -0.019818,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.034421,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046088,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.054528,
        "worst_return": 0.014315,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.093908,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020219,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.232419,
        "worst_return": -0.044603,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-01-06",
        "end": "2023-02-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012285,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-02-24",
        "end": "2023-03-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-03-10",
        "end": "2023-03-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-05-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-02",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003687,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.013416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.160898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.28824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002453,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 2380.15,
        "trend": 18.608427,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 78.614887,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 27.804054,
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        "typical_volume": 110.0,
        "trend": 26.021047,
        "fair_value": 21.339705,
        "relative_strength": 0.923727,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 70.201567,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 27.804054,
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        "trend": 26.280058,
        "fair_value": 21.453794,
        "relative_strength": 1.226298,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 28.062792,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 125.0,
        "trend": 26.38775,
        "fair_value": 21.515559,
        "relative_strength": 0.34388,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 74.289747,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 135.0,
        "trend": 26.508747,
        "fair_value": 21.580073,
        "relative_strength": 1.174844,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 2048,
        "typical_volume": 192.4,
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        "relative_strength": 1.479793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 74.745006,
        "energy": 69.883233,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 28.140631,
        "volume": 3600,
        "typical_volume": 372.4,
        "trend": 26.751794,
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        "relative_strength": -0.631586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 27.991001,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 26.970768,
        "fair_value": 21.840045,
        "relative_strength": -1.187461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.293478,
        "energy": 55.166386,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.175983,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 367.4,
        "trend": 27.144043,
        "fair_value": 21.918051,
        "relative_strength": 5.603827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 73.103949,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.791151,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.300585,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 392.4,
        "trend": 27.254804,
        "fair_value": 21.985348,
        "relative_strength": -1.022859,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.690911,
        "energy": 52.551493,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.706784,
          28.50302,
          28.159047,
          27.826121
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.160925,
        "volume": 420,
        "typical_volume": 413.4,
        "trend": 27.360911,
        "fair_value": 22.050265,
        "relative_strength": -1.310665,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.830677,
        "energy": 50.322949,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.57717,
          28.472832,
          28.189665,
          27.88458
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.131001,
        "volume": 801,
        "typical_volume": 453.45,
        "trend": 27.46602,
        "fair_value": 22.115203,
        "relative_strength": -1.629242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.200798,
        "energy": 44.225971,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.436228,
          28.430714,
          28.212402,
          27.934264
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 453.45,
        "trend": 27.571152,
        "fair_value": 22.181156,
        "relative_strength": -0.8795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.682803,
        "energy": 22.734361,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.318929,
          28.395198,
          28.236823,
          27.981617
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 453.45,
        "trend": 27.676284,
        "fair_value": 22.246249,
        "relative_strength": -3.914969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.321314,
        "energy": 22.081002,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.187696,
          28.357187,
          28.256027,
          28.022188
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}