{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b719e68-bead-466e-afe4-f7fc53b5c3e7",
    "symbol": "XGSD",
    "name": "Xtrackers Stoxx Global Select Dividend 100 Swap UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 96.45,
    "architecture_energy": 98.734,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.698,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.289,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 91.12,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.01,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.278665,
        35.464635,
        34.573683,
        33.895866
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 37.029999,
    "trend_reference": 33.026272,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.121229,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.576667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393327,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.850269,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.169059,
    "excess_performance": 0.086176,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121229,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056529,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.393327,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102661,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068503,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0131,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169059,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.742185,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14653,
      "relative_activity": 2.059669,
      "balance": 5.742185,
      "dry_up": 1.598025,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01221,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.079175,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.357709
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.026272,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.576667,
      "structural_low": 30.424705,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.011891,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005309,
        "regime_survival": 0.828571,
        "best_return": 0.075047,
        "worst_return": -0.092392,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.031983,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014404,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.09017,
        "worst_return": -0.100218,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.066929,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019024,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.148328,
        "worst_return": -0.106177,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.066589,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.071851,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.191101,
        "worst_return": -0.05242,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04166,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "typical_volume": 6752.4,
        "trend": 30.531428,
        "fair_value": 25.314432,
        "relative_strength": 7.818513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 79.855534,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 8.071787,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.590033,
        "energy": 75.700267,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 8151.45,
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        "relative_strength": 7.760806,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 8082.75,
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        "relative_strength": 6.587911,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.433167,
        "energy": 67.020851,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 33.540001,
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        "typical_volume": 8149.35,
        "trend": 31.259209,
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        "relative_strength": 5.89633,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 8088.1,
        "trend": 31.410711,
        "fair_value": 25.776639,
        "relative_strength": 7.122396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 76.817769,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.0,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 7503.85,
        "trend": 31.576149,
        "fair_value": 25.856465,
        "relative_strength": 5.492633,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 80.780901,
        "energy": 87.965448,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 7075.2,
        "trend": 31.911861,
        "fair_value": 26.025375,
        "relative_strength": 1.636798,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 71.514257,
        "energy": 87.684119,
        "activity_lines": [
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          33.146378,
          32.64969
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.0,
        "volume": 1205,
        "typical_volume": 6764.7,
        "trend": 32.051103,
        "fair_value": 26.110211,
        "relative_strength": -0.211389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.74255,
        "energy": 87.697866,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.993333,
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          33.274468,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 34.445,
        "volume": 2749,
        "typical_volume": 6741.5,
        "trend": 32.206484,
        "fair_value": 26.196453,
        "relative_strength": 2.291222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.155526,
        "energy": 93.231899,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.159667,
          33.950418,
          33.432375,
          32.938854
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.384998,
        "volume": 18994,
        "typical_volume": 7562.05,
        "trend": 32.396139,
        "fair_value": 26.286765,
        "relative_strength": 4.09043,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.356337,
        "energy": 97.836988,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.585666,
          34.251639,
          33.668259,
          33.143919
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.924999,
        "volume": 4609,
        "typical_volume": 7351.35,
        "trend": 32.598078,
        "fair_value": 26.377778,
        "relative_strength": 5.608823,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.569735,
        "energy": 98.72473,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.099333,
          34.605181,
          33.938959,
          33.371588
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.509998,
        "volume": 7219,
        "typical_volume": 6951.45,
        "trend": 32.815596,
        "fair_value": 26.475436,
        "relative_strength": 6.982203,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.955715,
        "energy": 98.736731,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.686332,
          35.014363,
          34.244231,
          33.623969
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.029999,
        "volume": 14653,
        "typical_volume": 7114.25,
        "trend": 33.026272,
        "fair_value": 26.576667,
        "relative_strength": 6.850269,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.450118,
        "energy": 98.73427,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.278665,
          35.464635,
          34.573683,
          33.895866
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}