{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b80b031-cab8-45d2-b331-d36f9bd4910e", "symbol": "600032", "name": "Zhejiang Provincial New Energy Investment Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.856, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.447, "architecture_energy": 42.063, "architecture_maturity": 22.695, "architecture_confidence": 79.915, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.07, "rotation_up": 22.61, "upward_expansion": 10.83, "deceleration": 52.63, "rotation_down": 45.67, "downward_expansion": 70.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.21, 7.265069, 8.197683, 8.528366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.34, "trend_reference": 8.669457, "distance_from_trend": -0.153349, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.951374, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076889, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.781796, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.068528, "excess_performance": -0.025324, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000457, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076889, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.337006, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097818, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.277437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.068528, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.666728, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 136162854, "relative_activity": 0.468372, "balance": 1.666728, "dry_up": 0.709844, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154662, "annualized_volatility": 0.663483, "from_high_reference": -0.479433, "from_low_reference": 0.165079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.669457, "fair_value_reference": 7.951374, "structural_low": 6.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.009267, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.007284, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.157821, "worst_return": -0.181729, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.034845, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.041209, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.264038, "worst_return": -0.212121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069924, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.001332, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.285774, "worst_return": -0.255132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.125244, 8.918706, 8.907796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.07, "volume": 147857951, "typical_volume": 297552691.55, "trend": 8.686123, "fair_value": 8.033966, "relative_strength": -9.704389, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.676806, "energy": 65.256776, "activity_lines": [ 6.989333, 7.798098, 8.715307, 8.802906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.1, "volume": 377814569, "typical_volume": 311347802.75, "trend": 8.677457, "fair_value": 8.001262, "relative_strength": -10.2521, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.857954, "energy": 61.117168, "activity_lines": [ 6.99, 7.53638, 8.520623, 8.700576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.34, "volume": 163614915, "typical_volume": 306688511.55, "trend": 8.67179, "fair_value": 7.975286, "relative_strength": -7.453041, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.113039, "energy": 54.384042, "activity_lines": [ 7.114667, 7.373918, 8.355225, 8.614288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.34, "volume": 136162854, "typical_volume": 290715310.85, "trend": 8.669457, "fair_value": 7.951374, "relative_strength": -9.781796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.447477, "energy": 42.062535, "activity_lines": [ 7.21, 7.265069, 8.197683, 8.528366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }