{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b80b307-cd93-4b47-86ea-891284b5120e", "symbol": "1467", "name": "Tex-Ray Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.089, "architecture_energy": 48.609, "architecture_maturity": 23.839, "architecture_confidence": 61.515, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.69, "rotation_up": 67.93, "upward_expansion": 81.75, "deceleration": 55.55, "rotation_down": 13.7, "downward_expansion": 6.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.244667, 8.993091, 8.346381, 8.022774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.51, "trend_reference": 7.729667, "distance_from_trend": 0.100953, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.580385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111727, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.657652, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.164159, "excess_performance": -0.277213, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100953, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067191, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.111727, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.170592, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196577, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.164159, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.709417, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2158838, "relative_activity": 0.85722, "balance": 1.709417, "dry_up": 1.825587, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128717, "annualized_volatility": 0.640387, "from_high_reference": -0.200939, "from_low_reference": 0.244152 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.729667, "fair_value_reference": 9.580385, "structural_low": 6.84, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.041686, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.013301, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.020492, "worst_return": -0.068273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.098631, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.102487, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.065574, "worst_return": -0.131687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.112958, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.188278, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.102459, "worst_return": -0.123457, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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9.34, "volume": 4553108, "typical_volume": 2324818.35, "trend": 7.629333, "fair_value": 9.622308, "relative_strength": -8.138463, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.302591, "energy": 74.852713, "activity_lines": [ 9.288667, 8.710364, 8.073571, 7.828495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.85, "volume": 3282019, "typical_volume": 2441109.45, "trend": 7.719333, "fair_value": 9.605641, "relative_strength": -4.689511, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.061293, "energy": 75.607733, "activity_lines": [ 9.494667, 9.000364, 8.280333, 7.971763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.51, "volume": 2158838, "typical_volume": 2518416.4, "trend": 7.729667, "fair_value": 9.580385, "relative_strength": -19.657652, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.089127, "energy": 48.608732, "activity_lines": [ 9.244667, 8.993091, 8.346381, 8.022774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }