{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b8127f4-3e00-42a9-a0ee-374aafd79660", "symbol": "GSS", "name": "Genetic Signatures Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.845, "architecture_energy": 86.667, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.96, "rotation_up": 29.25, "upward_expansion": 21.95, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 55.91, "downward_expansion": 95.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0604, 0.062673, 0.071, 0.079378 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.058, "trend_reference": 0.097233, "distance_from_trend": -0.403497, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.439309, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.867974, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -67.956248, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.6, "excess_performance": -0.663706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.403497, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.406993, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.867974, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0345, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.679562, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013102, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.6, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215035, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1259257, "relative_activity": 0.538825, "balance": 0.215035, "dry_up": 0.446443, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133952, "annualized_volatility": 1.389386, "from_high_reference": -0.865116, "from_low_reference": 0.137255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.097233, "fair_value_reference": 0.439309, "structural_low": 0.051, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.041045, "positive_rate": 0.311111, "directional_follow_through": 0.688889, "median_excess_return": -0.048226, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 1.088608, "worst_return": -0.533333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.079075, "positive_rate": 0.1875, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.128888, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.587879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.245471, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.222945, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.43331, "worst_return": -0.439024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-66.996277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.607742, "energy": 57.081786, "activity_lines": [ 0.063867, 0.065818, 0.075405, 0.085538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.059, "volume": 398763, "typical_volume": 2308318.1, "trend": 0.103133, "fair_value": 0.442475, "relative_strength": -67.293861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.502983, "energy": 87.711482, "activity_lines": [ 0.062333, 0.0642, 0.07319, 0.08229 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.058, "volume": 1259257, "typical_volume": 2337041.0, "trend": 0.097233, "fair_value": 0.439309, "relative_strength": -67.956248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.84457, "energy": 86.667471, "activity_lines": [ 0.0604, 0.062673, 0.071, 0.079378 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }