{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3b815fe7-2293-4b2a-bb55-fedaf26e0658", "symbol": "VGRO", "name": "Vanguard Growth ETF Portfolio", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.202, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.539, "architecture_energy": 51.444, "architecture_maturity": 84.131, "architecture_confidence": 51.485, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.47, "rotation_up": 46.27, "upward_expansion": 74.63, "deceleration": 71.27, "rotation_down": 28.98, "downward_expansion": 12.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.425999, 47.384539, 46.840939, 46.103159 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 48.209999, "trend_reference": 45.263615, "distance_from_trend": 0.065094, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.484886, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286118, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.474648, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.099821, "excess_performance": -0.0206, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065094, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032497, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286118, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014397, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024746, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003923, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099821, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.190663, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 632200, "relative_activity": 0.827097, "balance": 1.190663, "dry_up": 1.056799, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018404, "annualized_volatility": 0.117164, "from_high_reference": -0.005569, "from_low_reference": 0.213743 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.263615, "fair_value_reference": 37.484886, "structural_low": 41.623268, 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"activity_lines": [ 47.581233, 47.156, 46.160429, 45.501889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.869999, "volume": 1080300, "typical_volume": 857515.0, "trend": 44.867072, "fair_value": 37.140335, "relative_strength": -2.631792, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.318627, "energy": 60.068143, "activity_lines": [ 47.383921, 47.174707, 46.315305, 45.639276 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.93, "volume": 740500, "typical_volume": 806630.0, "trend": 44.988666, "fair_value": 37.250784, "relative_strength": -2.643492, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.301697, "energy": 53.382404, "activity_lines": [ 47.209817, 47.184212, 46.465661, 45.772368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.029999, "volume": 778100, "typical_volume": 784260.0, "trend": 45.12407, "fair_value": 37.364083, "relative_strength": -1.891381, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.38477, "energy": 40.88008, "activity_lines": [ 47.119333, 47.184905, 46.607386, 45.904067 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.209999, "volume": 632200, "typical_volume": 764360.0, "trend": 45.263615, "fair_value": 37.484886, "relative_strength": -2.474648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.538769, "energy": 51.443749, "activity_lines": [ 47.425999, 47.384539, 46.840939, 46.103159 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }