{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b8d7b49-32e4-4cda-894c-7504224158c8",
    "symbol": "SPEP",
    "name": "Invesco S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.344,
    "architecture_energy": 55.204,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.636,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.57,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.45,
        "rotation_up": 42.71,
        "upward_expansion": 75.17,
        "deceleration": 77.13,
        "rotation_down": 29.13,
        "downward_expansion": 8.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 8092.5,
    "trend_reference": 7435.3,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.088389,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6239.857885,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.296905,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.019589,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.135949,
    "excess_performance": 0.084714,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088389,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035538,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.296905,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032893,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030196,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01335,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135949,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.680261,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10880,
      "relative_activity": 0.666652,
      "balance": 1.680261,
      "dry_up": 0.650813,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0195,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.121525,
      "from_high_reference": -0.132202,
      "from_low_reference": 0.257967
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7435.3,
      "fair_value_reference": 6239.857885,
      "structural_low": 6714.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.008113,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011497,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.094546,
        "worst_return": -0.073125,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.055815,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026513,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.109909,
        "worst_return": -0.070916,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.096322,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020444,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.153866,
        "worst_return": -0.026176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.111636,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045028,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.299784,
        "worst_return": 0.051631,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.060019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.107866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053284,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.037453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.0025,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 26127.45,
        "trend": 7158.416667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 20980.55,
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        "fair_value": 6121.196026,
        "relative_strength": 4.596707,
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        "energy": 75.795356,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 6141.689616,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 6161.987693,
        "relative_strength": 3.804635,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 65.026042,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 12340,
        "typical_volume": 19323.65,
        "trend": 7360.616667,
        "fair_value": 6180.766539,
        "relative_strength": 1.345067,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.882081,
        "energy": 55.447636,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7670.180952,
          7523.196774
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7779.5,
        "volume": 11290,
        "typical_volume": 18732.05,
        "trend": 7383.3,
        "fair_value": 6199.593462,
        "relative_strength": 0.662781,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.337081,
        "energy": 46.490483,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7550.221505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7753.5,
        "volume": 7976,
        "typical_volume": 16967.35,
        "trend": 7405.983333,
        "fair_value": 6218.452436,
        "relative_strength": -0.909549,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.348552,
        "energy": 36.047703,
        "activity_lines": [
          7773.6,
          7808.563636,
          7721.747619,
          7574.105376
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8092.5,
        "volume": 10880,
        "typical_volume": 16320.35,
        "trend": 7435.3,
        "fair_value": 6239.857885,
        "relative_strength": 3.019589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.343619,
        "energy": 55.203984,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}