{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3b95e92a-7fb8-436d-b0f5-08824a02b3dd",
    "symbol": "LORD",
    "name": "Lords Group Trading plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -80.015,
    "architecture_energy": 58.783,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.238,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.61,
        "rotation_up": 17.85,
        "upward_expansion": 8.34,
        "deceleration": 55.01,
        "rotation_down": 62.85,
        "downward_expansion": 79.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.144417,
        0.151273,
        0.159369,
        0.169802
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.12875,
    "trend_reference": 0.187191,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.312201,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.351173,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.633371,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -49.918977,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.4457,
    "excess_performance": -0.496935,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.312201,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124899,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.633371,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072281,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.49919,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022718,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.4457,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.192617,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1662002,
      "relative_activity": 1.967296,
      "balance": 0.192617,
      "dry_up": 1.861363,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128888,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.492682,
      "from_high_reference": -0.694148,
      "from_low_reference": 0.05102
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.187191,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.351173,
      "structural_low": 0.1225,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.011593,
        "positive_rate": 0.387097,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.612903,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008391,
        "regime_survival": 0.935484,
        "best_return": 0.334086,
        "worst_return": -0.205069,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.091857,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058846,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.780435,
        "worst_return": -0.306121,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.198113,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.215743,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.429741,
        "worst_return": -0.292577,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.079373,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161012,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.11878,
        "worst_return": -0.277525,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-01-27",
        "end": "2023-03-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.079268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-03-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.055171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.209793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.08602,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.242766,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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          0.168437,
          0.17987
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.165,
        "volume": 288146,
        "typical_volume": 662203.6,
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        "fair_value": 0.356754,
        "relative_strength": -38.403354,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -44.844099,
        "energy": 33.56068,
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          0.164,
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          0.167396,
          0.177887
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.13,
        "volume": 3623526,
        "typical_volume": 812614.65,
        "trend": 0.19051,
        "fair_value": 0.353945,
        "relative_strength": -50.644837,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.803526,
        "energy": 53.157412,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.153833,
          0.157091,
          0.163257,
          0.173787
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.12875,
        "volume": 1662002,
        "typical_volume": 844815.25,
        "trend": 0.187191,
        "fair_value": 0.351173,
        "relative_strength": -49.918977,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.0153,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.144417,
          0.151273,
          0.159369,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}