{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3bafbfec-48aa-4f67-9697-35cf4dca8a1d", "symbol": "TIP5", "name": "iShares $ TIPS 0-5 UCITS ETF USD (Dist)", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 93.694, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.128, "architecture_energy": 16.065, "architecture_maturity": 26.608, "architecture_confidence": 44.774, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.92, "rotation_up": 37.99, "upward_expansion": 63.64, "deceleration": 61.39, "rotation_down": 17.61, "downward_expansion": 6.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.892733, 4.8908, 4.894777, 4.888596 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.896, "trend_reference": 4.874022, "distance_from_trend": 0.004509, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.59883, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.064619, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.795069, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015877, "excess_performance": -0.035358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004509, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006298, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.064619, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018105, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033531, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015877, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.956153, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1465380, "relative_activity": 1.108517, "balance": 0.956153, "dry_up": 0.780392, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.007053, "annualized_volatility": 0.025707, "from_high_reference": -0.017258, "from_low_reference": 0.034196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.874022, "fair_value_reference": 4.59883, "structural_low": 4.78241, "invalidation": "A decisive 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.617435, "energy": 11.052081, "activity_lines": [ 4.8875, 4.8898, 4.893662, 4.881755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.898, "volume": 593937, "typical_volume": 1719433.5, "trend": 4.865069, "fair_value": 4.587132, "relative_strength": -4.900085, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.235541, "energy": 15.674744, "activity_lines": [ 4.891233, 4.890345, 4.894717, 4.884093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.89, "volume": 944471, "typical_volume": 1478763.65, "trend": 4.868052, "fair_value": 4.591033, "relative_strength": -6.023991, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.156054, "energy": 16.101353, "activity_lines": [ 4.891833, 4.8899, 4.894776, 4.885702 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.888, "volume": 1122702, "typical_volume": 1498874.2, "trend": 4.871082, "fair_value": 4.594898, "relative_strength": -6.934055, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.749983, "energy": 15.803101, "activity_lines": [ 4.891167, 4.889736, 4.894505, 4.886988 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.896, "volume": 1465380, "typical_volume": 1321928.0, "trend": 4.874022, "fair_value": 4.59883, "relative_strength": -6.795069, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.127557, "energy": 16.065044, "activity_lines": [ 4.892733, 4.8908, 4.894777, 4.888596 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }