{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3bbbe0e7-4b87-4fb5-8dd9-6f9c8c900343",
    "symbol": "ISWD",
    "name": "iShares MSCI World Islamic UCITS ETF USD (Dist)",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.4,
    "architecture_energy": 48.797,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.622,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.938,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.99,
        "rotation_up": 45.21,
        "upward_expansion": 69.19,
        "deceleration": 91.38,
        "rotation_down": 29.06,
        "downward_expansion": 16.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        66.489332,
        66.353999,
        65.737168,
        64.336917
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 68.589996,
    "trend_reference": 62.611581,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095484,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.179758,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340178,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.000513,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.166892,
    "excess_performance": 0.084008,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095484,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054358,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340178,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033299,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040005,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073008,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166892,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.186673,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16711,
      "relative_activity": 1.800842,
      "balance": 3.186673,
      "dry_up": 1.751351,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023797,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.139793,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.318513
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.611581,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.179758,
      "structural_low": 55.963977,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.038763,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006322,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.086151,
        "worst_return": 0.005307,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.047398,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012085,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.091241,
        "worst_return": -0.006013,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054065,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009063,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.14983,
        "worst_return": 0.009941,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.017456,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003609,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.222851,
        "worst_return": -0.127401,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-06",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014635,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041748,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033999,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001003,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051092,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040223,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.241808,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054582,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 7562.95,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": 10.888164,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 65.800003,
        "volume": 34611,
        "typical_volume": 9844.1,
        "trend": 59.029907,
        "fair_value": 49.493014,
        "relative_strength": 9.733321,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 93.1014,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 67.419998,
        "volume": 9201,
        "typical_volume": 9911.75,
        "trend": 59.383599,
        "fair_value": 49.661249,
        "relative_strength": 11.665075,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 70,
        "typical_volume": 9573.75,
        "trend": 59.769787,
        "fair_value": 49.823613,
        "relative_strength": 11.769783,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 90.621935,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 66.349998,
        "volume": 8,
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        "trend": 60.107696,
        "fair_value": 49.972745,
        "relative_strength": 7.816824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 8.35689,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 8517.7,
        "trend": 60.882146,
        "fair_value": 50.289444,
        "relative_strength": 3.691228,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.773675,
        "energy": 65.528708,
        "activity_lines": [
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          62.557316
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 67.019997,
        "volume": 8123,
        "typical_volume": 8918.35,
        "trend": 61.213198,
        "fair_value": 50.449841,
        "relative_strength": 2.930192,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 64.691167,
        "activity_lines": [
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          62.953307
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 65.989998,
        "volume": 6054,
        "typical_volume": 8951.2,
        "trend": 61.495322,
        "fair_value": 50.594939,
        "relative_strength": 2.569187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.552032,
        "energy": 60.257081,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.499332,
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          63.261487
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.440002,
        "volume": 25478,
        "typical_volume": 7751.6,
        "trend": 61.741038,
        "fair_value": 50.728435,
        "relative_strength": -0.659924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.458363,
        "energy": 43.942173,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.793333,
          66.17691,
          64.829576,
          63.451466
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.040001,
        "volume": 19836,
        "typical_volume": 8728.8,
        "trend": 61.990501,
        "fair_value": 50.865314,
        "relative_strength": 0.317384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.453965,
        "energy": 33.714414,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.414667,
          65.960545,
          65.01518,
          63.664303
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.099998,
        "volume": 2982,
        "typical_volume": 8559.25,
        "trend": 62.27397,
        "fair_value": 51.012875,
        "relative_strength": 1.756606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.879352,
        "energy": 27.052149,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.532,
          65.933636,
          65.276713,
          63.929432
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.589996,
        "volume": 16711,
        "typical_volume": 9279.55,
        "trend": 62.611581,
        "fair_value": 51.179758,
        "relative_strength": 4.000513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.400071,
        "energy": 48.79683,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.489332,
          66.353999,
          65.737168,
          64.336917
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}