{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3bbeb873-76e1-4d40-8158-70a4fd1539d9", "symbol": "600155", "name": "Huachuang Yunxin Digital Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.388, "architecture_energy": 20.545, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.802, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.31, "rotation_up": 36.92, "upward_expansion": 23.2, "deceleration": 41.29, "rotation_down": 21.71, "downward_expansion": 54.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.780667, 5.658, 5.725048, 5.904559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.91, "trend_reference": 6.167, "distance_from_trend": -0.041673, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.146667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173041, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.715919, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129602, "excess_performance": -0.086399, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041673, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072446, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173041, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046199, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.107159, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067513, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129602, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.432579, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126304487, "relative_activity": 1.13806, "balance": 0.432579, "dry_up": 1.580468, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064428, "annualized_volatility": 0.230953, "from_high_reference": -0.269468, "from_low_reference": 0.138728 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.167, "fair_value_reference": 7.146667, "structural_low": 5.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.00841, "positive_rate": 0.472222, "directional_follow_through": 0.527778, "median_excess_return": 0.002975, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.269103, "worst_return": -0.141935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.050477, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.025312, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.321782, "worst_return": -0.15871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.012381, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.047961, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.401225, "worst_return": -0.218065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 5.529333, 5.508727, 5.717905, 5.936387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.0, "volume": 192305607, "typical_volume": 110544963.6, "trend": 6.190667, "fair_value": 7.150769, "relative_strength": -7.387802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.333344, "energy": 22.044818, "activity_lines": [ 5.688, 5.593273, 5.723857, 5.922667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.91, "volume": 126304487, "typical_volume": 110982237.0, "trend": 6.167, "fair_value": 7.146667, "relative_strength": -10.715919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.387773, "energy": 20.5454, "activity_lines": [ 5.780667, 5.658, 5.725048, 5.904559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }