{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3bc01bec-3b89-43d1-b956-3676b3c6bd53", "symbol": "ATH", "name": "Alterity Therapeutics Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.276, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.045, "architecture_energy": 18.15, "architecture_maturity": 68.04, "architecture_confidence": 77.276, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.84, "rotation_up": 27.09, "upward_expansion": 61.24, "deceleration": 87.83, "rotation_down": 30.01, "downward_expansion": 15.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.55, 0.568636, 0.544405, 0.515323 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.515, "trend_reference": 0.477167, "distance_from_trend": 0.079287, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.39, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320513, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.423856, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.144444, "excess_performance": 0.080739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079287, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088593, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320513, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154348, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014239, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080942, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144444, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.198563, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 488435, "relative_activity": 0.91565, "balance": 0.198563, "dry_up": 1.189369, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183719, "annualized_volatility": 0.713907, "from_high_reference": -0.343949, "from_low_reference": 0.471429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.477167, "fair_value_reference": 0.39, "structural_low": 0.35, "invalidation": "A 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"relative_strength": 23.779646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.786152, "energy": 73.038021, "activity_lines": [ 0.615333, 0.563273, 0.52419, 0.49329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.59, "volume": 614636, "typical_volume": 498569.2, "trend": 0.465667, "fair_value": 0.386667, "relative_strength": 15.839669, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.972842, "energy": 66.956138, "activity_lines": [ 0.614667, 0.572727, 0.534167, 0.50172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.56, "volume": 1114149, "typical_volume": 527088.75, "trend": 0.470167, "fair_value": 0.388013, "relative_strength": 11.307797, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.794284, "energy": 53.112726, "activity_lines": [ 0.597667, 0.576, 0.540381, 0.507806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.545, "volume": 320560, "typical_volume": 520377.35, "trend": 0.473333, "fair_value": 0.389263, "relative_strength": 6.576888, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.049256, "energy": 32.127234, "activity_lines": [ 0.578333, 0.575455, 0.544167, 0.512634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.515, "volume": 488435, "typical_volume": 533429.7, "trend": 0.477167, "fair_value": 0.39, "relative_strength": -1.423856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.045309, "energy": 18.150146, "activity_lines": [ 0.55, 0.568636, 0.544405, 0.515323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }