{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3bc5eeb5-0fc2-4178-8fa2-7f1795455124", "symbol": "BWG", "name": "BrandywineGLOBAL - Global Income Opportunities Fund Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 55.838, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.312, "architecture_energy": 33.771, "architecture_maturity": 30.717, "architecture_confidence": 91.008, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.45, "rotation_up": 16.37, "upward_expansion": 7.58, "deceleration": 40.76, "rotation_down": 51.5, "downward_expansion": 76.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.758413, 7.7839, 7.808896, 7.812338 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.79, "trend_reference": 7.860426, "distance_from_trend": -0.00896, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.11018, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.095612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.235182, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.044943, "excess_performance": -0.170568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00896, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.095612, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04324, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122352, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021839, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044943, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.19223, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 361350, "relative_activity": 1.045437, "balance": 1.19223, "dry_up": 0.880003, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023052, "annualized_volatility": 0.150719, "from_high_reference": -0.065849, "from_low_reference": 0.068052 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.860426, "fair_value_reference": 7.11018, "structural_low": 7.293649, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.000681, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.002063, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.071448, "worst_return": -0.110411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.005394, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.050176, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.082242, "worst_return": -0.041352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037481, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018673, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092668, "worst_return": -0.180809, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 7.820601, 7.827581, 7.821218, 7.840571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.69, "volume": 328591, "typical_volume": 374111.75, "trend": 7.880508, "fair_value": 7.086145, "relative_strength": -9.993846, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.429339, "energy": 32.541152, "activity_lines": [ 7.775115, 7.803846, 7.812862, 7.82738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.73, "volume": 281262, "typical_volume": 353114.5, "trend": 7.87264, "fair_value": 7.09857, "relative_strength": -10.194702, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.033105, "energy": 36.70327, "activity_lines": [ 7.754138, 7.788135, 7.808415, 7.81767 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.79, "volume": 361350, "typical_volume": 345645.0, "trend": 7.860426, "fair_value": 7.11018, "relative_strength": -12.235182, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.311833, "energy": 33.771455, "activity_lines": [ 7.758413, 7.7839, 7.808896, 7.812338 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }