{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3be7c028-141b-4100-9a27-38a239dc4ca7", "symbol": "BRLS", "name": "Borealis Foods Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.37, "architecture_energy": 71.84, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.115, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.31, "rotation_up": 9.25, "upward_expansion": 16.27, "deceleration": 37.13, "rotation_down": 74.76, "downward_expansion": 91.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.88368, 1.030013, 1.183058, 1.250111 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.92, "trend_reference": 1.28351, "distance_from_trend": -0.283216, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.523318, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.833433, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.463895, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.408882, "excess_performance": 0.221428, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.283216, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197673, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.833433, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.574639, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039812, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.408882, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.262515, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53391, "relative_activity": 0.061421, "balance": 0.262515, "dry_up": 0.228252, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.328728, "annualized_volatility": 1.809677, "from_high_reference": -0.816733, "from_low_reference": 0.533333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.28351, "fair_value_reference": 5.523318, "structural_low": 0.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.063492, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.044988, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.85, "worst_return": -0.462429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.10582, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.246765, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.015, "worst_return": -0.54597, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.186195, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.255419, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.085131, "worst_return": -0.635135, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.158809, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.031667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037097, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.053846, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.282813, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.082857, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.493113, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.269841, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.405524, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016043, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 10.93, "volume": 14888, "typical_volume": 11396.85, "trend": 10.592007, "fair_value": 10.201673, "relative_strength": -9.989255, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.075729, "energy": 59.023702, "activity_lines": [ 1.105367, 1.2462, 1.312061, 1.33878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.935, "volume": 69081, "typical_volume": 859820.8, "trend": 1.339843, "fair_value": 5.651844, "relative_strength": -56.508609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.386019, "energy": 62.658405, "activity_lines": [ 1.017693, 1.175107, 1.270727, 1.311188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.78, "volume": 310571, "typical_volume": 870252.35, "trend": 1.306843, "fair_value": 5.587164, "relative_strength": -63.014507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.703506, "energy": 75.907441, "activity_lines": [ 0.903353, 1.083924, 1.218226, 1.275069 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.92, "volume": 53391, "typical_volume": 869256.2, "trend": 1.28351, "fair_value": 5.523318, "relative_strength": -57.463895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.369621, "energy": 71.839724, "activity_lines": [ 0.88368, 1.030013, 1.183058, 1.250111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }