{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3bf643ef-9b8c-4bb3-82fe-c4967a4f2ac5", "symbol": "1459", "name": "Lan Fa Textile Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.349, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.196, "architecture_energy": 62.28, "architecture_maturity": 12.445, "architecture_confidence": 69.314, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.03, "rotation_up": 62.89, "upward_expansion": 81.92, "deceleration": 51.02, "rotation_down": 12.72, "downward_expansion": 15.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.248776, 13.99262, 13.62612, 13.446136 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.0, "trend_reference": 13.263095, "distance_from_trend": 0.055561, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.105354, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156513, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.476711, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.084831, "excess_performance": -0.356541, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055561, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017696, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156513, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055746, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244767, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088667, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.084831, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.946905, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1638552, "relative_activity": 2.630562, "balance": 1.946905, "dry_up": 1.156968, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070138, "annualized_volatility": 0.425001, "from_high_reference": -0.113924, "from_low_reference": 0.124498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.263095, "fair_value_reference": 12.105354, "structural_low": 12.45, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.005311, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.017432, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.090308, "worst_return": -0.109244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.041472, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.086718, "worst_return": -0.142857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.022349, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.18264, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.075741, "worst_return": -0.161344, "sufficient": false }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 42.569686, "energy": 18.03035, "activity_lines": [ 13.161575, 13.157998, 13.085755, 13.069582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.8, "volume": 345613, "typical_volume": 607116.45, "trend": 13.144992, "fair_value": 12.032935, "relative_strength": -13.828979, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.209321, "energy": 80.09394, "activity_lines": [ 14.039803, 13.643276, 13.349122, 13.246861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.8, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 545532.6, "trend": 13.235969, "fair_value": 12.067471, "relative_strength": -12.001023, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.691483, "energy": 93.717853, "activity_lines": [ 14.747623, 14.077928, 13.600018, 13.418152 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.9, "volume": 898492, "typical_volume": 565094.95, "trend": 13.230279, "fair_value": 12.082639, "relative_strength": -28.747567, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.873549, "energy": 63.425995, "activity_lines": [ 14.295921, 13.933678, 13.560675, 13.396476 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.0, "volume": 1638552, "typical_volume": 622890.45, "trend": 13.263095, "fair_value": 12.105354, "relative_strength": -24.476711, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.196362, "energy": 62.28002, "activity_lines": [ 14.248776, 13.99262, 13.62612, 13.446136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }