{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c08b641-1e60-4d44-a89e-52b5f0cf467d", "symbol": "000403", "name": "Pacific Shuanglin Bio-pharmacy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.69, "architecture_energy": 36.507, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.675, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.95, "rotation_up": 26.78, "upward_expansion": 17.52, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 36.57, "downward_expansion": 65.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.114667, 9.993273, 10.699429, 11.346151 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.6, "trend_reference": 12.198333, "distance_from_trend": -0.131029, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.895687, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.467221, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.989945, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.225712, "excess_performance": -0.233112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131029, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109524, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.467221, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032928, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.269899, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225712, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.401771, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46215913, "relative_activity": 0.977747, "balance": 1.401771, "dry_up": 1.394871, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099202, "annualized_volatility": 0.432044, "from_high_reference": -0.445896, "from_low_reference": 0.200453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.198333, "fair_value_reference": 19.895687, "structural_low": 8.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.018401, "positive_rate": 0.463415, "directional_follow_through": 0.536585, "median_excess_return": -0.027824, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 0.214578, "worst_return": -0.223906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.033876, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.112546, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.292975, "worst_return": -0.342466, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.186937, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.207144, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.444318, "worst_return": -0.262022, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 9.22, "volume": 73416611, "typical_volume": 44051492.05, "trend": 12.682667, "fair_value": 20.133753, "relative_strength": -43.562583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.390484, "energy": 90.87964, "activity_lines": [ 9.556, 10.500545, 11.36119, 11.976194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.73, "volume": 79778108, "typical_volume": 45710029.8, "trend": 12.556667, "fair_value": 20.071974, "relative_strength": -33.490513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.696133, "energy": 87.314737, "activity_lines": [ 9.462, 10.267636, 11.134143, 11.785699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.44, "volume": 76375919, "typical_volume": 46541406.15, "trend": 12.425, "fair_value": 20.009021, "relative_strength": -34.66754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.449766, "energy": 74.857284, "activity_lines": [ 9.414667, 10.018, 10.900333, 11.584624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.43, "volume": 61359693, "typical_volume": 47094638.9, "trend": 12.301333, "fair_value": 19.952413, "relative_strength": -25.597758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.957775, "energy": 52.659032, "activity_lines": [ 9.788667, 9.980364, 10.782667, 11.455914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.6, "volume": 46215913, "typical_volume": 47267741.6, "trend": 12.198333, "fair_value": 19.895687, "relative_strength": -26.989945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.689976, "energy": 36.507399, "activity_lines": [ 10.114667, 9.993273, 10.699429, 11.346151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }