{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c09699d-8526-4545-9cbb-1e8a59f89e31",
    "symbol": "GGPS3",
    "name": "GPS Participa\u00e7\u00f5es e Empreendimentos S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.012,
    "architecture_energy": 58.582,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.936,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.07,
        "rotation_up": 28.61,
        "upward_expansion": 10.61,
        "deceleration": 58.07,
        "rotation_down": 49.43,
        "downward_expansion": 81.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.824667,
        11.937636,
        12.533,
        13.538172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.63,
    "trend_reference": 14.926,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.220823,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.880067,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.218417,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.178095,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.376073,
    "excess_performance": -0.319025,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220823,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096235,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218417,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203134,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.281781,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079246,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.376073,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.339129,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13446000,
      "relative_activity": 1.072128,
      "balance": 0.339129,
      "dry_up": 1.107429,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075733,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.305655,
      "from_high_reference": -0.408142,
      "from_low_reference": 0.045863
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.926,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.880067,
      "structural_low": 11.12,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.013158,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027166,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.197164,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03787,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.21472,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.199439,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005864,
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        "worst_return": -0.183828,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.021051,
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13333190.0,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 48.073987,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.48,
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        "typical_volume": 13111105.0,
        "trend": 15.266333,
        "fair_value": 14.926902,
        "relative_strength": -30.532386,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.065807,
        "energy": 52.204006,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.72,
        "volume": 13771600,
        "typical_volume": 13068610.0,
        "trend": 15.121667,
        "fair_value": 14.903337,
        "relative_strength": -30.232737,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.006711,
        "energy": 51.129377,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.011333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.63,
        "volume": 13446000,
        "typical_volume": 12541415.0,
        "trend": 14.926,
        "fair_value": 14.880067,
        "relative_strength": -28.178095,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.011572,
        "energy": 58.582371,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}