{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c1c4dd3-fe12-403c-a05d-c2cbc855f3d5", "symbol": "COPR", "name": "Coppernico Metals Inc", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.964, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.559, "architecture_energy": 42.138, "architecture_maturity": 18.402, "architecture_confidence": 87.905, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.25, "rotation_up": 18.3, "upward_expansion": 5.38, "deceleration": 50.07, "rotation_down": 56.56, "downward_expansion": 78.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.311667, 0.315773, 0.34775, 0.360618 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.335, "trend_reference": 0.379083, "distance_from_trend": -0.116289, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.288774, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.160077, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.657775, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.22093, "excess_performance": -0.341352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032456, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.160077, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.448013, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.534847, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.22093, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.972931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 276757, "relative_activity": 0.396247, "balance": 0.972931, "dry_up": 1.405685, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148106, "annualized_volatility": 0.727349, "from_high_reference": -0.401786, "from_low_reference": 1.16129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.379083, "fair_value_reference": 0.288774, "structural_low": 0.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.270833, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.614035, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.070588, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073529, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": 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-19.659623, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.345113, "energy": 75.37469, "activity_lines": [ 0.298333, 0.322318, 0.355298, 0.368328 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.31, "volume": 2206815, "typical_volume": 715205.8, "trend": 0.379917, "fair_value": 0.288325, "relative_strength": -11.125782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.195764, "energy": 66.631069, "activity_lines": [ 0.300167, 0.315727, 0.350238, 0.363516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.335, "volume": 276757, "typical_volume": 698446.4, "trend": 0.379083, "fair_value": 0.288774, "relative_strength": -7.657775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.55936, "energy": 42.137899, "activity_lines": [ 0.311667, 0.315773, 0.34775, 0.360618 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }