{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c217935-03dd-4e96-a4ed-363cdf832302", "symbol": "42Z", "name": "Eindec Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.62, "architecture_energy": 64.575, "architecture_maturity": 69.992, "architecture_confidence": 92.915, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.61, "rotation_up": 29.02, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.65, "rotation_down": 54.68, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.03, 0.030545, 0.034038, 0.03754 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.03, "trend_reference": 0.041567, "distance_from_trend": -0.278268, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.03784, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.207183, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.064656, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.4, "excess_performance": -0.554835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.278268, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024257, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.207183, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.499272, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330647, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.493065, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.4, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.950766, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084615, "annualized_volatility": 0.356601, "from_high_reference": -0.411765, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.041567, "fair_value_reference": 0.03784, "structural_low": 0.024, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.002652, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.655172, "worst_return": -0.327586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014706, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008741, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.366667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.029412, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.014708, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.842105, "worst_return": -0.424242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.166329, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.162833, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.884615, "worst_return": -0.277778, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.147059, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.233333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106383, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.02, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081633, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0625, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.034, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5415.0, "trend": 0.036433, "fair_value": 0.062244, "relative_strength": -15.888594, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.940177, "energy": 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0.043512 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.032, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19055.0, "trend": 0.0425, "fair_value": 0.037968, "relative_strength": -26.902745, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.553044, "energy": 82.333702, "activity_lines": [ 0.032533, 0.036855, 0.041548, 0.042828 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.032, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18705.0, "trend": 0.042533, "fair_value": 0.037962, "relative_strength": -25.885089, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.647183, "energy": 90.030425, "activity_lines": [ 0.032133, 0.035345, 0.040338, 0.042151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.032, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17705.0, "trend": 0.042567, "fair_value": 0.037955, "relative_strength": -25.620445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.619931, "energy": 88.661902, "activity_lines": [ 0.032, 0.034109, 0.039214, 0.041471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.03, "volume": 372100, "typical_volume": 36310.0, "trend": 0.042367, "fair_value": 0.037936, "relative_strength": -32.142508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.800814, "energy": 71.747414, "activity_lines": [ 0.031333, 0.032782, 0.03799, 0.04066 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.03, "volume": 46500, "typical_volume": 36950.0, "trend": 0.0422, "fair_value": 0.037917, "relative_strength": -31.659431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.108646, "energy": 69.594656, "activity_lines": [ 0.0308, 0.0318, 0.036867, 0.039862 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.03, "volume": 116100, "typical_volume": 42755.0, "trend": 0.041967, "fair_value": 0.037891, "relative_strength": -31.886552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.321813, "energy": 67.873936, "activity_lines": [ 0.0304, 0.031164, 0.035833, 0.039075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 42755.0, "trend": 0.041833, "fair_value": 0.037865, "relative_strength": -32.298581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.918245, "energy": 67.004557, "activity_lines": [ 0.030133, 0.0308, 0.03489, 0.038303 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.03, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 42755.0, "trend": 0.041567, "fair_value": 0.03784, "relative_strength": -33.064656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.620162, "energy": 64.574936, "activity_lines": [ 0.03, 0.030545, 0.034038, 0.03754 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }