{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c26d1ce-0d98-423a-a557-070aa2d4d77a", "symbol": "603200", "name": "Shanghai Emperor of Cleaning Hi-Tech Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.613, "architecture_energy": 75.236, "architecture_maturity": 64.734, "architecture_confidence": 95.618, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 21.2, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 42.87, "rotation_down": 64.39, "downward_expansion": 89.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.590667, 37.826573, 44.247176, 50.158981 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 37.630001, "trend_reference": 59.027998, "distance_from_trend": -0.362506, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.390484, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.044693, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.201781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.534513, "excess_performance": -0.491309, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.362506, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16654, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.044693, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.719013, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.442018, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291122, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.534513, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.586543, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42367074, "relative_activity": 1.678344, "balance": 0.586543, "dry_up": 1.215952, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127108, "annualized_volatility": 0.498106, "from_high_reference": -0.659457, "from_low_reference": 0.219773 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.027998, "fair_value_reference": 39.390484, "structural_low": 30.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.013371, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014369, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.156587, "worst_return": -0.187446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.245573, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.155838, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.386609, "worst_return": -0.226494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.374262, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.379359, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.048596, "worst_return": 0.037799, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -88.987015, "energy": 90.047112, "activity_lines": [ 38.64459, 42.285239, 49.234127, 55.225067 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.200001, "volume": 18096243, "typical_volume": 23143354.5, "trend": 61.344331, "fair_value": 39.17127, "relative_strength": -51.494105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.764795, "energy": 93.701374, "activity_lines": [ 35.899334, 39.838738, 47.10889, 53.26539 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.709999, "volume": 43277949, "typical_volume": 24277288.1, "trend": 60.144998, "fair_value": 39.272078, "relative_strength": -46.044768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.311472, "energy": 86.526516, "activity_lines": [ 35.262667, 38.486989, 45.509842, 51.611562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.630001, "volume": 42367074, "typical_volume": 25243385.9, "trend": 59.027998, "fair_value": 39.390484, "relative_strength": -44.201781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.612804, "energy": 75.236367, "activity_lines": [ 35.590667, 37.826573, 44.247176, 50.158981 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }