{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c3dbab4-535d-4c14-8f51-937a39295932",
    "symbol": "MMSC",
    "name": "FIRST TR EXCHANGE TRADED FD VIII MULTI MANAGER SMALL CAP OPPORTUNITIES ET",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 48.834,
    "architecture_energy": 24.134,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.325,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.272,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.58,
        "rotation_up": 32.77,
        "upward_expansion": 60.17,
        "deceleration": 85.16,
        "rotation_down": 27.02,
        "downward_expansion": 19.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.9747,
        28.134882,
        27.858726,
        27.198356
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 28.6743,
    "trend_reference": 26.474233,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083102,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.979808,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.366757,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.616833,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.128909,
    "excess_performance": 0.003285,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083102,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05348,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.366757,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008003,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016168,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035095,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128909,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.227876,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9615,
      "relative_activity": 0.322389,
      "balance": 1.227876,
      "dry_up": 0.758436,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042697,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.194249,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031928,
      "from_low_reference": 0.37329
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.474233,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.979808,
      "structural_low": 22.46,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.005937,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003516,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.053871,
        "worst_return": -0.087662,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.042595,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016384,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.127744,
        "worst_return": -0.229323,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.137665,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007386,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.167228,
        "worst_return": -0.026128,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.182391,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034861,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.218635,
        "worst_return": 0.146147,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.084236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.075658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055003,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007884,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.075204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003269,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.022201,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051246,
        "active": true
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        "fair_value": 19.80247,
        "relative_strength": 6.262754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 50.55583,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.876487,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 56864.35,
        "trend": 24.639303,
        "fair_value": 19.878862,
        "relative_strength": 5.615388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 70.788481,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 56124.55,
        "trend": 24.779917,
        "fair_value": 19.959847,
        "relative_strength": 5.126353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 54983.65,
        "trend": 24.891113,
        "fair_value": 20.036964,
        "relative_strength": 3.248817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.917249,
        "energy": 76.467581,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 27.755,
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        "typical_volume": 54491.6,
        "trend": 25.000747,
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        "relative_strength": 4.790698,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.549417,
        "energy": 74.957157,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 22596,
        "typical_volume": 52676.3,
        "trend": 25.13027,
        "fair_value": 20.201688,
        "relative_strength": 4.857973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.295865,
        "energy": 73.630438,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 27.0884,
        "volume": 24034,
        "typical_volume": 50528.7,
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        "fair_value": 20.27539,
        "relative_strength": 3.019795,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.842476,
        "energy": 50.559973,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 28.0696,
        "volume": 16538,
        "typical_volume": 48372.05,
        "trend": 25.413353,
        "fair_value": 20.354467,
        "relative_strength": 5.892926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 52.116963,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 28.7097,
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        "typical_volume": 42959.9,
        "trend": 25.763433,
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        "relative_strength": 9.31308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.49043,
        "energy": 54.248909,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.320887,
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          26.410321
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.5899,
        "volume": 8489,
        "typical_volume": 39156.3,
        "trend": 25.903763,
        "fair_value": 20.60201,
        "relative_strength": 6.272231,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 62.641073,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.7539,
        "volume": 16375,
        "typical_volume": 37105.7,
        "trend": 26.05129,
        "fair_value": 20.681724,
        "relative_strength": 5.1691,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.02916,
        "energy": 63.478822,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.643213,
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          27.428168,
          26.776553
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.9777,
        "volume": 39143,
        "typical_volume": 36483.85,
        "trend": 26.174543,
        "fair_value": 20.756814,
        "relative_strength": 3.717032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.677427,
        "energy": 48.131429,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.450227,
          28.294404,
          27.570136,
          26.900838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.4779,
        "volume": 24456,
        "typical_volume": 35142.8,
        "trend": 26.273207,
        "fair_value": 20.827612,
        "relative_strength": 2.25284,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.425511,
        "energy": 33.535968,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.096767,
          28.183153,
          27.651563,
          26.984925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.2765,
        "volume": 17265,
        "typical_volume": 33643.0,
        "trend": 26.369423,
        "fair_value": 20.898748,
        "relative_strength": 0.251312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.738137,
        "energy": 21.903672,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.754993,
          28.027595,
          27.697343,
          27.049654
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.6743,
        "volume": 9615,
        "typical_volume": 29824.2,
        "trend": 26.474233,
        "fair_value": 20.979808,
        "relative_strength": 1.616833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.834101,
        "energy": 24.133521,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.9747,
          28.134882,
          27.858726,
          27.198356
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}