{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c413321-47c9-4e82-a40c-264458af0eb2",
    "symbol": "IMKTA",
    "name": "Ingles Markets Incorporated",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.123,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 16.793,
    "architecture_energy": 8.73,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.69,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.472,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.4,
        "rotation_up": 34.78,
        "upward_expansion": 48.45,
        "deceleration": 71.71,
        "rotation_down": 26.71,
        "downward_expansion": 30.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        88.608667,
        89.033085,
        89.211009,
        88.815106
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 88.11,
    "trend_reference": 87.070434,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011939,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 73.579151,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.197486,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.546363,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.039607,
    "excess_performance": -0.147846,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011939,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069525,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197486,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010047,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035464,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01765,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039607,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.570255,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 751497,
      "relative_activity": 1.133649,
      "balance": 1.570255,
      "dry_up": 0.933352,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060711,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.235574,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.473768
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.070434,
      "fair_value_reference": 73.579151,
      "structural_low": 79.212852,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.032976,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037335,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.2035,
        "worst_return": -0.034097,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.137151,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.135603,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.269715,
        "worst_return": -0.086746,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.263834,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.247157,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.449381,
        "worst_return": -0.148336,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.18169,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036498,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.480147,
        "worst_return": -0.116768,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.096098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.094509,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.070906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.130357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073699,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.005155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
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        "return": 0.211223,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003506,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 676846.05,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 23.609463,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 504563,
        "typical_volume": 681865.35,
        "trend": 83.918381,
        "fair_value": 73.334963,
        "relative_strength": 0.885019,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 21.551659,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 678457.2,
        "trend": 84.604966,
        "fair_value": 73.400361,
        "relative_strength": -0.173548,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 50.114212,
        "energy": 23.120118,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 90.15,
        "volume": 529019,
        "typical_volume": 669927.25,
        "trend": 85.229721,
        "fair_value": 73.455913,
        "relative_strength": 3.300025,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.759838,
        "energy": 24.422902,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 85.83,
        "volume": 642838,
        "typical_volume": 672833.45,
        "trend": 85.758281,
        "fair_value": 73.48046,
        "relative_strength": -0.219657,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.911078,
        "energy": 6.00221,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.749529,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 90.01,
        "volume": 551526,
        "typical_volume": 665890.9,
        "trend": 86.445761,
        "fair_value": 73.531864,
        "relative_strength": 3.797339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.07181,
        "energy": 11.106545,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.021812,
          89.277397,
          89.32611,
          88.707735
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.11,
        "volume": 751497,
        "typical_volume": 662901.0,
        "trend": 87.070434,
        "fair_value": 73.579151,
        "relative_strength": -3.546363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.792659,
        "energy": 8.730309,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.608667,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}