{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c53d94c-612f-4919-970d-d50f99dc8c42", "symbol": "MCY", "name": "Mercury General Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.668, "architecture_energy": 45.121, "architecture_maturity": 73.515, "architecture_confidence": 67.35, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.87, "rotation_up": 46.72, "upward_expansion": 77.66, "deceleration": 70.94, "rotation_down": 25.95, "downward_expansion": 6.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.972, 107.453201, 104.143182, 100.805501 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 109.5, "trend_reference": 96.733725, "distance_from_trend": 0.131973, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.606222, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.694883, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.388067, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.158199, "excess_performance": 0.032574, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131973, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058735, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.694883, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010623, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073881, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018116, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.158199, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.434534, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1930565, "relative_activity": 1.518364, "balance": 1.434534, "dry_up": 1.163325, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053621, "annualized_volatility": 0.210588, "from_high_reference": -0.031488, "from_low_reference": 0.575169 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 96.733725, "fair_value_reference": 64.606222, "structural_low": 81.860125, 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"fair_value": 62.592227, "relative_strength": 11.975755, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.156518, "energy": 83.307062, "activity_lines": [ 107.793333, 104.810846, 100.543892, 97.650119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 106.25, "volume": 1404919, "typical_volume": 1264299.6, "trend": 95.05503, "fair_value": 63.091056, "relative_strength": 10.028684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.160887, "energy": 73.336794, "activity_lines": [ 107.822667, 105.446859, 101.442678, 98.400904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.28, "volume": 1268748, "typical_volume": 1253781.3, "trend": 95.520637, "fair_value": 63.587551, "relative_strength": 11.154807, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.332577, "energy": 55.824133, "activity_lines": [ 107.840667, 106.144724, 102.36201, 99.189612 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.12, "volume": 1312331, "typical_volume": 1254857.7, "trend": 96.053083, "fair_value": 64.091118, "relative_strength": 9.233593, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.286841, "energy": 45.424202, "activity_lines": [ 107.498, 106.640895, 103.183177, 99.937958 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 109.5, "volume": 1930565, "typical_volume": 1271476.75, "trend": 96.733725, "fair_value": 64.606222, "relative_strength": 7.388067, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.667915, "energy": 45.121385, "activity_lines": [ 107.972, 107.453201, 104.143182, 100.805501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }