{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3c54ae6f-156f-4d38-9bf9-1eb5ee87f599",
    "symbol": "WNRG",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.274,
    "architecture_energy": 43.129,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.536,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.192,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.82,
        "rotation_up": 67.53,
        "upward_expansion": 74.38,
        "deceleration": 66.79,
        "rotation_down": 11.0,
        "downward_expansion": 5.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        71.223929,
        71.132419
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 72.449997,
    "trend_reference": 69.9195,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036192,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.86859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320428,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.460155,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.119611,
    "excess_performance": 0.068375,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036192,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075387,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.320428,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020251,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054602,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08343,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119611,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.409776,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13890,
      "relative_activity": 0.164657,
      "balance": 3.409776,
      "dry_up": 0.54384,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042081,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.255832,
      "from_high_reference": -0.094375,
      "from_low_reference": 0.426577
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 54.86859,
      "structural_low": 64.650002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.003779,
        "positive_rate": 0.535714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008288,
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        "best_return": 0.128523,
        "worst_return": -0.159453,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.13751,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.093233,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.121301,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 74.190002,
        "volume": 110811,
        "typical_volume": 137005.0,
        "trend": 62.5905,
        "fair_value": 52.539968,
        "relative_strength": 18.406284,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.212666,
        "energy": 38.378606,
        "activity_lines": [
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          66.634473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 116065,
        "typical_volume": 139272.6,
        "trend": 63.1635,
        "fair_value": 52.712115,
        "relative_strength": 13.803137,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 73.690002,
        "volume": 87426,
        "typical_volume": 143282.35,
        "trend": 63.8565,
        "fair_value": 52.901859,
        "relative_strength": 18.55812,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.189313,
        "energy": 37.359324,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.306667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 73.879997,
        "volume": 74031,
        "typical_volume": 146521.7,
        "trend": 64.487167,
        "fair_value": 53.097372,
        "relative_strength": 15.25474,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.54463,
        "energy": 42.728059,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.054,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 70.400002,
        "volume": 31606,
        "typical_volume": 138740.65,
        "trend": 65.018,
        "fair_value": 53.267756,
        "relative_strength": 10.020282,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 31.25194,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 72.93,
        "volume": 21064,
        "typical_volume": 136167.5,
        "trend": 65.623333,
        "fair_value": 53.448462,
        "relative_strength": 13.940576,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.688936,
        "energy": 33.213092,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 72.205002,
        "volume": 8314,
        "typical_volume": 129381.25,
        "trend": 66.1375,
        "fair_value": 53.625032,
        "relative_strength": 11.368965,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 118563.6,
        "trend": 66.536833,
        "fair_value": 53.778942,
        "relative_strength": 4.427586,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 66.68,
        "volume": 2548,
        "typical_volume": 108413.15,
        "trend": 66.8895,
        "fair_value": 53.919359,
        "relative_strength": 2.21803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.483459,
        "energy": 13.803854,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.975666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 66.205002,
        "volume": 6582,
        "typical_volume": 105239.15,
        "trend": 67.193334,
        "fair_value": 54.059327,
        "relative_strength": -0.216991,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.415817,
        "energy": 29.332512,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.757,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 68.285004,
        "volume": 111259,
        "typical_volume": 108805.7,
        "trend": 67.602834,
        "fair_value": 54.20657,
        "relative_strength": 4.534839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.609637,
        "energy": 43.0454,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.511335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 71.720001,
        "volume": 84068,
        "typical_volume": 107726.2,
        "trend": 68.1745,
        "fair_value": 54.36875,
        "relative_strength": 8.415345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.93161,
        "energy": 25.927266,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.720335,
          69.383637,
          70.591667,
          70.160667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.709999,
        "volume": 30500,
        "typical_volume": 98718.2,
        "trend": 68.819834,
        "fair_value": 54.547404,
        "relative_strength": 11.100307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.874646,
        "energy": 23.836274,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.958334,
          70.18391,
          70.90712,
          70.582312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.309998,
        "volume": 55049,
        "typical_volume": 87392.5,
        "trend": 69.4135,
        "fair_value": 54.716923,
        "relative_strength": 8.7965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.418665,
        "energy": 38.699667,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.555,
          70.892909,
          71.161,
          70.936516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.449997,
        "volume": 13890,
        "typical_volume": 84357.1,
        "trend": 69.9195,
        "fair_value": 54.86859,
        "relative_strength": 5.460155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.274231,
        "energy": 43.128808,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.022999,
          71.255909,
          71.223929,
          71.132419
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}