{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c56bfb5-5f8f-4120-8ff4-589da5230f19", "symbol": "FYTO11", "name": "Fii Nch Brasil Recebiveis Imobiliarios Para Fii Fyto Recebiveis Imob", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.393, "architecture_energy": 38.91, "architecture_maturity": 13.511, "architecture_confidence": 80.177, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.46, "rotation_up": 18.74, "upward_expansion": 4.18, "deceleration": 54.86, "rotation_down": 49.48, "downward_expansion": 72.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.129333, 8.150745, 8.238835, 8.278292 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.01, "trend_reference": 8.31878, "distance_from_trend": -0.037118, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.592743, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.867806, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.713041, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.04472, "excess_performance": 0.012328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037118, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.867806, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008761, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02713, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033672, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04472, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.617257, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65733, "relative_activity": 1.107512, "balance": 0.617257, "dry_up": 1.136391, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024243, "annualized_volatility": 0.082884, "from_high_reference": -0.068453, "from_low_reference": 0.145246 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.31878, "fair_value_reference": 60.592743, "structural_low": 8.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017925, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.02199, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.091146, "worst_return": -0.041053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.047095, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.016926, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.105454, "worst_return": -0.001519, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.118324, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.057645, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.173253, "worst_return": 0.063394, "sufficient": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.066918, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038278, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.007306, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016617, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.112346, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": 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"trend": 8.314823, "fair_value": 62.504788, "relative_strength": -2.090953, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.855493, "energy": 32.480396, "activity_lines": [ 8.175267, 8.21217, 8.291216, 8.315231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.18, "volume": 53460, "typical_volume": 59459.55, "trend": 8.323148, "fair_value": 61.867926, "relative_strength": -2.085511, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.43987, "energy": 33.7442, "activity_lines": [ 8.181588, 8.196711, 8.277756, 8.306533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.2, "volume": 77920, "typical_volume": 60455.1, "trend": 8.324587, "fair_value": 61.231192, "relative_strength": -3.716091, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.653065, "energy": 28.599409, "activity_lines": [ 8.187201, 8.188725, 8.266932, 8.298588 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.01, "volume": 65733, "typical_volume": 59351.95, "trend": 8.31878, "fair_value": 60.592743, "relative_strength": -2.713041, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.393187, "energy": 38.910115, "activity_lines": [ 8.129333, 8.150745, 8.238835, 8.278292 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }