{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c59053a-e29e-4bc5-9e1e-64cb490bd2e4", "symbol": "VRDN", "name": "Viridian Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 81.736, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 24.556, "architecture_energy": 30.919, "architecture_maturity": 9.084, "architecture_confidence": 43.858, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.66, "rotation_up": 43.76, "upward_expansion": 34.1, "deceleration": 38.7, "rotation_down": 14.31, "downward_expansion": 44.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.482667, 19.490182, 18.231143, 19.308387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23.59, "trend_reference": 21.806333, "distance_from_trend": 0.081796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.001635, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241472, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.285307, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.193504, "excess_performance": -0.380958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081796, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.241472, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.384404, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122853, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.260502, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.193504, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.296375, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11620443, "relative_activity": 0.909537, "balance": 4.296375, "dry_up": 0.708731, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083094, "annualized_volatility": 0.830451, "from_high_reference": -0.312044, "from_low_reference": 0.789833 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.806333, "fair_value_reference": 19.001635, "structural_low": 13.18, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.017799, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.036878, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.202101, "worst_return": -0.086777, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.043681, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.072569, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.465496, "worst_return": -0.196051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.046354, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.081624, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.013317, "worst_return": -0.402663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.16595, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.140805, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.157609, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.163741, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.517954, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": 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22.114063, "activity_lines": [ 18.649333, 17.950364, 17.632333, 19.673505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.27, "volume": 8782805, "typical_volume": 12530508.4, "trend": 22.470333, "fair_value": 18.973942, "relative_strength": -24.288739, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.566349, "energy": 20.767762, "activity_lines": [ 18.959333, 18.262909, 17.661619, 19.439914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.92, "volume": 7676207, "typical_volume": 12620832.15, "trend": 22.078333, "fair_value": 18.976186, "relative_strength": -25.91509, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.486951, "energy": 15.804126, "activity_lines": [ 18.976667, 18.467273, 17.700762, 19.21086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.59, "volume": 11620443, "typical_volume": 12776215.05, "trend": 21.806333, "fair_value": 19.001635, "relative_strength": -12.285307, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 24.556176, "energy": 30.918628, "activity_lines": [ 20.482667, 19.490182, 18.231143, 19.308387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }