{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c5ac954-d730-47b7-b214-308da05c2f52", "symbol": "COMT", "name": "ISHARES GSCI COMMODITY DYNAMIC ROLL STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 61.651, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.257, "architecture_energy": 25.678, "architecture_maturity": 40.895, "architecture_confidence": 62.763, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.63, "rotation_up": 51.45, "upward_expansion": 58.11, "deceleration": 70.59, "rotation_down": 10.22, "downward_expansion": 15.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.628853, 32.103442, 32.680654, 32.554557 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 32.55, "trend_reference": 31.65609, "distance_from_trend": 0.028238, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.259049, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288647, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.491697, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.211424, "excess_performance": 0.023971, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028238, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081017, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.288647, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127802, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004917, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087325, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211424, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.504587, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1051453, "relative_activity": 0.35013, "balance": 0.504587, "dry_up": 0.438193, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04246, "annualized_volatility": 0.278276, "from_high_reference": -0.111869, "from_low_reference": 0.365898 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.65609, "fair_value_reference": 25.259049, "structural_low": 26.395, "invalidation": "A 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32.108647 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.66, "volume": 2051179, "typical_volume": 3396274.3, "trend": 30.887853, "fair_value": 25.086298, "relative_strength": 4.338013, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.619058, "energy": 24.221775, "activity_lines": [ 31.40854, 31.884438, 32.791454, 32.240355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.1451, "volume": 1201589, "typical_volume": 3256185.25, "trend": 31.159357, "fair_value": 25.146376, "relative_strength": 7.358792, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.35897, "energy": 15.08478, "activity_lines": [ 32.070553, 31.976362, 32.794226, 32.385984 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.64, "volume": 959424, "typical_volume": 3054365.45, "trend": 31.41777, "fair_value": 25.20327, "relative_strength": 4.998721, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.770083, "energy": 20.452205, "activity_lines": [ 32.44586, 32.026538, 32.740988, 32.481509 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.55, "volume": 1051453, "typical_volume": 3003039.0, "trend": 31.65609, "fair_value": 25.259049, "relative_strength": -0.491697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.256915, "energy": 25.678483, "activity_lines": [ 32.628853, 32.103442, 32.680654, 32.554557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }