{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3c5d8332-a46f-46d5-a807-f6d4e88b36e5", "symbol": "002136", "name": "Anhui Annada Titanium Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.461, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.61, "architecture_energy": 57.443, "architecture_maturity": 10.233, "architecture_confidence": 85.119, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.38, "rotation_up": 12.66, "upward_expansion": 12.06, "deceleration": 39.22, "rotation_down": 63.64, "downward_expansion": 85.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.923333, 12.194545, 12.811619, 13.016925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.15, "trend_reference": 13.176667, "distance_from_trend": -0.077916, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.988361, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105715, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.789917, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.081633, "excess_performance": -0.089032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077916, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015393, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.105715, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.319846, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067899, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109086, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.304485, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29646280, "relative_activity": 0.849825, "balance": 1.304485, "dry_up": 0.995975, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099209, "annualized_volatility": 0.446603, "from_high_reference": -0.315493, "from_low_reference": 0.19469 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.176667, "fair_value_reference": 10.988361, "structural_low": 10.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.043529, "positive_rate": 0.730769, "directional_follow_through": 0.269231, "median_excess_return": 0.030205, "regime_survival": 0.653846, "best_return": 0.397321, "worst_return": -0.078395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.032848, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.022195, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.362874, "worst_return": -0.060494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.073146, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.013366, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.258929, "worst_return": -0.032726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"mixed", "direction": -14.109858, "energy": 22.516754, "activity_lines": [ 13.020667, 13.529636, 13.576286, 13.475075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 12.99, "volume": 7503801, "typical_volume": 48909108.45, "trend": 13.254, "fair_value": 10.971378, "relative_strength": -9.911542, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.969508, "energy": 22.397194, "activity_lines": [ 13.026667, 13.361091, 13.521762, 13.456602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.98, "volume": 37029348, "typical_volume": 49163580.65, "trend": 13.23, "fair_value": 10.978957, "relative_strength": -13.502437, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.654482, "energy": 30.906617, "activity_lines": [ 12.720667, 13.027091, 13.371952, 13.374409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.42, "volume": 36759336, "typical_volume": 44895646.75, "trend": 13.224667, "fair_value": 10.979965, "relative_strength": -9.170649, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.973442, "energy": 45.266736, "activity_lines": [ 12.259333, 12.647818, 13.172524, 13.257634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.68, "volume": 42773421, "typical_volume": 40893996.6, "trend": 13.22, "fair_value": 10.981561, "relative_strength": -7.302525, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.330495, "energy": 62.156497, "activity_lines": [ 11.962, 12.389455, 13.012714, 13.157978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.06, "volume": 29799842, "typical_volume": 37619633.2, "trend": 13.176333, "fair_value": 10.984958, "relative_strength": -2.712575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.063045, "energy": 63.782949, "activity_lines": [ 11.882, 12.258, 12.901952, 13.08314 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.15, "volume": 29646280, "typical_volume": 34885146.6, "trend": 13.176667, "fair_value": 10.988361, "relative_strength": -6.789917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.610002, "energy": 57.44276, "activity_lines": [ 11.923333, 12.194545, 12.811619, 13.016925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }